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Neutral IOD ‘battles’ a strong El Nino
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Commuters navigate a waterlogged road after heavy rainfall at Vasai-Virar on Wednesday. Pic: PTI
Mumbai: Belying gloomy forecasts of a potentially devastating monsoon 2026 season, a ‘neutral’ Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – an ocean-atmosphere phenomena – may have helped soften...
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El Niño and India’s Economic Future
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Even with better forecasting and policy preparedness, El Niño remains a significant risk to agriculture and inflation.
With rising temperatures in April, forecasts of the southwest monsoon become a focal point across India. In India monsoon is crucial for agriculture,...
RBI’s Stability Doctrine
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As external shocks batter the economy, the RBI and government are choosing caution over activism.
In periods of geopolitical turmoil, the task of macroeconomic management shifts from maximizing growth to preserving stability. India entered the second half of 2026 confronting...
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IOD may cushion El Nino’s mega-threat
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Mumbai: Amid gloomy forecasts of a below-normal monsoon 2026 in India due to a potentially devastating El Nino, scientists are monitoring the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), an ocean-atmosphere phenomena that could possibly soften the impact over the sub-continent.
As a...
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