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GDP Surge Masks a Complex Economic Picture
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Robust GDP growth masks uneven consumption, capital-flow pressures and a widening debate over the methodology of India’s economic data.
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India’s growth outlook is increasingly influenced by interconnected...
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The Making of India’s Forex Fortress
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Part 2: Three decades after the 1991 crisis, India’s record Forex reserves have transformed the country from a crisis-prone borrower into an economy with a formidable external shock absorber.
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From Two Weeks to 11 Months: India’s Forex Revolution
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Part 1: The journey from US$1.2 billion in reserves to US$729.3 billion is one of India’s great economic transformations. Part I examines how the foundations were laid.
India once had...
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From Liberalisation to Scale: India’s Next Reform Challenge
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Three decades of reform have transformed India’s economy. It must now dismantle the barriers that prevent growth from scaling.
The period from 2014 to 2019 marked a significant turn in...
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From Crisis to Take-Off: 35 Years of Economic Reform
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Part one of our two-part series examines how the 1991 crisis unravelled the License Raj, unleashed private enterprise and globalisation, and set India on course to be a global economic...
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The Currency Called Trust
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Trust is one of the economy’s most valuable yet least visible assets. It underpins everyday interactions between individuals, businesses, and institutions, making lending, investment, trade, and long-term partnerships possible despite...
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India's Welfare Boom Tests Fiscal Prudence
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India’s welfare state is undergoing one of its most significant transformations since economic liberalisation. For decades, public support revolved around subsidising essentials such as food, fuel and fertilisers. Today, that...
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El Niño and India’s Economic Future
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Even with better forecasting and policy preparedness, El Niño remains a significant risk to agriculture and inflation.
With rising temperatures in April, forecasts of the southwest monsoon become a focal...
Why Public Transport Is the Next Economic Reform
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As Indian cities swell, the government must treat public transport as critical infrastructure rather than a social service.
A central idea in modern urban planning is that real progress is...
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RBI’s Stability Doctrine
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As external shocks batter the economy, the RBI and government are choosing caution over activism.
In periods of geopolitical turmoil, the task of macroeconomic management shifts from maximizing growth to...
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The RBI’s Fortress Against Global Turbulence
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With a record surplus and a lower risk buffer, the RBI’s balance sheet has emerged as India’s strongest defence against global shocks.
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The balance sheet of the...
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The Iran Crisis and India’s Gathering Fiscal Storm
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As the war in West Asia continues to drive up crude prices and fiscal pressures, India’s economic resilience is being severely tested.
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It has been nearly three...
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