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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Shinde dilutes demand

Likely to be content with Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai Mumbai: In a decisive shift that redraws the power dynamics of Maharashtra’s urban politics, the standoff over the prestigious Mumbai Mayor’s post has ended with a strategic compromise. Following days of resort politics and intense backroom negotiations, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has reportedly diluted its demand for the top job in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), settling instead for the Deputy Mayor’s post. This...

Shinde dilutes demand

Likely to be content with Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai Mumbai: In a decisive shift that redraws the power dynamics of Maharashtra’s urban politics, the standoff over the prestigious Mumbai Mayor’s post has ended with a strategic compromise. Following days of resort politics and intense backroom negotiations, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has reportedly diluted its demand for the top job in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), settling instead for the Deputy Mayor’s post. This development, confirmed by high-ranking party insiders, follows the realization that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) effectively ceded its claims on the Kalyan-Dombivali Municipal Corporation (KDMC) to protect the alliance, facilitating a “Mumbai for BJP, Kalyan for Shinde” power-sharing formula. The compromise marks a complete role reversal between the BJP and the Shiv Sena. Both the political parties were in alliance with each other for over 25 years before 2017 civic polls. Back then the BJP used to get the post of Deputy Mayor while the Shiv Sena always enjoyed the mayor’s position. In 2017 a surging BJP (82 seats) had paused its aggression to support the undivided Shiv Sena (84 seats), preferring to be out of power in the Corporation to keep the saffron alliance intact. Today, the numbers dictate a different reality. In the recently concluded elections BJP emerged as the single largest party in Mumbai with 89 seats, while the Shinde faction secured 29. Although the Shinde faction acted as the “kingmaker”—pushing the alliance past the majority mark of 114—the sheer numerical gap made their claim to the mayor’s post untenable in the long run. KDMC Factor The catalyst for this truce lies 40 kilometers north of Mumbai in Kalyan-Dombivali, a region considered the impregnable fortress of Eknath Shinde and his son, MP Shrikant Shinde. While the BJP performed exceptionally well in KDMC, winning 50 seats compared to the Shinde faction’s 53, the lotter for the reservation of mayor’s post in KDMC turned the tables decisively in favor of Shiv Sena there. In the lottery, the KDMC mayor’ post went to be reserved for the Scheduled Tribe candidate. The BJP doesn’t have any such candidate among elected corporatros in KDMC. This cleared the way for Shiv Sena. Also, the Shiv Sena tied hands with the MNS in the corporation effectively weakening the Shiv Sena (UBT)’s alliance with them. Party insiders suggest that once it became clear the BJP would not pursue the KDMC Mayor’s chair—effectively acknowledging it as Shinde’s fiefdom—he agreed to scale down his demands in the capital. “We have practically no hope of installing a BJP Mayor in Kalyan-Dombivali without shattering the alliance locally,” a Mumbai BJP secretary admitted and added, “Letting the KDMC become Shinde’s home turf is the price for securing the Mumbai Mayor’s bungalow for a BJP corporator for the first time in history.” The formal elections for the Mayoral posts are scheduled for later this month. While the opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi (MVA)—led by the Shiv Sena (UBT)—has vowed to field candidates, the arithmetic heavily favors the ruling alliance. For Eknath Shinde, accepting the Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai is a tactical retreat. It allows him to consolidate his power in the MMR belt (Thane and Kalyan) while remaining a partner in Mumbai’s governance. For the BJP, this is a crowning moment; after playing second fiddle in the BMC for decades, they are poised to finally install their own “First Citizen” of Mumbai.

A Truce Vs Durable Peace

Updated: Oct 21, 2024

A Truce Vs Durable Peace

The Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in his address to the UN General Assembly on Friday, displayed two maps; one was titled “The Blessing,” and the other “The Curse!” “The Blessing” did not identify the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, but showed all the territory as one nation, Israel! He announced the continuation of military actions in Lebanon and said “I’ve come here today to say enough is enough. We won’t rest until our citizens can return safely to their homes.”

It’s been a year since Hamas’s October 7 unprecedented attack, more than 1500 Israelis have been killed and hundreds abducted into deep dark tunnels of Gaza. Hezbollah, a Shia militia of Lebanon is targeting the north of Israel whereas the southern parts of the country are attacked by Houthis, the Yemeni Shia rebels. Houthis have also been attacking commercial vessels near Israel’s shoreline, disrupting the global maritime trade. The Iraqi Shia militants targeted Israel’s strongest ally, the United States by launching rockets at bases hosting US troops in Iraq, Syria and Jordan! Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthis have relentlessly launched over 11000 missiles and mortar shells into Israel, displacing over 100,000 Israelis in the past year. Iran’s ‘Operation True Promise’ alone targeted Israel’s Golan plateau with over 300 missiles and drones fired in a single night of April 2024! Iran with its proxies has adopted a horizontal escalation strategy to wipe off Israel.

For the past half-century, Israel has been only retaliating and has not subdued the enemy with full-scale war. The world’s best military weapons have been targeting only the positions exposed due to the firing from enemy’s lines, rather than demolishing the sites pinpointed by years of deep research.

In Sep 2024, when thousands of pagers and other communication devices exploded in the hands of sworn enemies, the world marvelled at the Israeli intelligence and capabilities. Once again, it is proved that Israel is bending over backwards to conduct precise-targeted killings and destroy the command structure of the enemy force. As these proxies remain deeply embedded within the civilian population and are using civilians as human shields, Israel is using such sophisticated precision targeting to ensure minimal damage.

However, these target actions by Israel have been criticised by experts as killing the leader does not destroy the entire militia; the destruction of critical infrastructure does not eliminate all the risks. These slim victories do not ensure long-term security; rather, such actions help the enemy to win grassroots support. This targeted retaliatory policy of Israel has led to enemy aggressions from all sides. “A crushing response from the Axis of Resistance” is what was promised by Iran’s Commander Hossein Salami to Hezbollah Chief. Israel’s actions are also condemned for putting many noncombatants at risk. But this ‘moral radar’ malfunctions when hundreds of Hamas-Hezbollah missiles race towards Israel with a genocidal intent.

When Israel finally took up arms against Hezbollah’s infrastructure in Lebanon for conclusive victory, a sudden call for a ceasefire echoed in the UN assembly. The UN has turned a blind eye to the sufferings of Israelis and Israeli settlers for a long time. In September this year, the UN assembly passed a resolution demanding Israel to end its “unlawful presence” and remove its settlements from Palestinian territory within the next 12 months. Issuance of such directives and condemnation by the UN are not new to Israel. In the 90’s when Israel relinquished control over parts of Gaza, the Palestinian faction attacked and killed one thousand Israelis.

Hezbollah started The Second Lebanon War when Israel withdrew from Lebanon in the past. In 2005, Israel withdrew completely from Gaza, and since then, the Israelis have endured war atrocities. Israel’s “Iron Lady” Golda Meir once said “Give up this and give up the other place. Give up the Golan Heights. What happened when we were not on the Golan Heights? We were not on the Golan Heights before ’67, and for 19 years, Syria had guns up there and shot at our agricultural settlements below. So what, if we give up the Golan Heights, they will stop shooting? They say we must be dead. And we say we want to be alive. Between life and death, I don’t know of a compromise. And that’s why we have no choice.”

Can peace be decreed only upon one nation that is constantly targeted by neighbours, when her neighbours refuse to accept her very existence right from the day of her formation; when geopolitical conflicts are fuelled by third parties to earn enormous defence export profits? Isn’t peace a shared responsibility?

The UN directives and peace accords could not safeguard Israelis from unprovoked attacks. The Iran-proxies have not retreated from Israeli borders. On the contrary, they built secret tunnels, procured the lethal arsenal and mapped ‘The Conquest of the Galilee Plan’ as fighting Jewish land is the only reason why they exist! Peace cannot be decreed solely through truce and treaties! A truce without considering its potential impact does not resolve the conflict. An accord without justice fails to restore durable peace!

(The writer is a foreign affairs expert. Views personal.)

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