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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 4:59:11 pm

Speculations of ‘Operation Tiger’

Mumbai: Recent disqualification of former Mumbai Mayor Vishakha Raut and senior corporator Deepak Sawant has sent shockwaves through the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), sparking speculation of a targeted municipal sequel to the Shiv Sena split. With a surge of election petitions now threatening dozens of elected representatives, whispers of a new form of calculated “Operation Tiger” are growing louder. Many suspect this is a strategic move to dismantle the Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray...

Speculations of ‘Operation Tiger’

Mumbai: Recent disqualification of former Mumbai Mayor Vishakha Raut and senior corporator Deepak Sawant has sent shockwaves through the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), sparking speculation of a targeted municipal sequel to the Shiv Sena split. With a surge of election petitions now threatening dozens of elected representatives, whispers of a new form of calculated “Operation Tiger” are growing louder. Many suspect this is a strategic move to dismantle the Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray (UBT) faction’s remaining stronghold in the civic body. Recent action against Raut and Sawant, whose Other Backward Classes (OBC) caste certificates were invalidated, reveals a broader vulnerability. According to BMC data, a staggering 79 election petitions are currently active against corporators across various parties. The charges primarily challenge the authenticity of caste verification certificates, but also include discrepancies in election affidavits concerning declared properties and income. While the sheer volume of petitions against the UBT camp is alarming, civic authorities note that filing a petition does not automatically result in disqualification. The process requires exhausting several legal and administrative steps. Even after a ruling by a caste scrutiny committee or judicial authority, the urban development department must formally issue a gazette notification before a seat is declared vacant. The timing of these petitions has fueled intense speculation. Against the backdrop of the ongoing Supreme Court hearings regarding the original Shiv Sena’s party name and election symbol, analysts suggest rival factions are leveraging these petitions. This municipal “Operation Tiger” appears designed to either legally disqualify embattled UBT members or pressure them into defection to avoid a public unseating. If these petitions lead to widespread disqualifications, the UBT faction risks losing its position as the largest opposition bloc, fundamentally altering the balance of power in Asia’s richest civic body. Election petitions against BMC corporators Political Party: Active Petitions Shiv Sena (UBT): 24 Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP): 18 Congress: 10 Shiv Sena (Shinde): 7 AIMIM: 7

ASEAN Out, Brazil In

India’s decision to pull out of the inaugural FIFA ASEAN Cup for a high-profile friendly with Brazil sends the wrong signal at a time when its Act East policy demands consistency and commitment.

On the eve of India’s 80th Independence Day, Indian media carried the news of India’s withdrawal from the inaugural FIFA ASEAN Cup football tournament, as announced by the All India Football Federation (AIFF) a day before. Justification for the said decision explained that Indian participation in the said tournament would have clashed with the later proposed and approved friendly match with the high-profile and five-time world champions Brazil, scheduled in October. This development should take Indians by surprise, and preferably, a shock!


Before commenting on that development, and try elaborating on that shock, let us have a look at the background information - This inaugural FIFA (Federation of International Football Associations) tournament was conceived as a new international competition for teams from the ASEAN region, the announcement of which was made by the FIFA President Gianni Infantino in October 2025. India was invited as one of the three non-ASEAN participants. India had accepted the invitation to participate, and was subsequently drawn in the Premier Division hosted by Indonesia. This division consisted of six ASEAN countries - Indonesia, Singapore. Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Philippines - along with Pakistan. The other, Challenger Division, included the rest of ASEAN – Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Brunei and Timor-Leste, - along with the division’s host Hong Kong. The competition is taking place between the third week of September and the first week of October.


AIFF seems to have thought it fit to withdraw, in favour of a friendly with Brazil on October 3 at Kolkata’s Salt Lake Stadium, treating that as a better option. The question, however, is whether that was really better or was even good in the first place. In order to make this later development appear meaty and attractive additional reports pour in to suggest that India is exploring friendlies against other teams that featured at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, among the sides, with Cape Verde and Iran being under discussion, though those fixtures have not yet been officially confirmed.


Grave Error

What is the root of this extravagant thought? Was it not appropriate for India to participate in FIFA ASEAN Cup after having failed to qualify for the 2027 AFC (Asian Football Confederation) Asian Cup, and after struggling to secure regular high-quality opposition in recent years than engaging in high-sounding casual friendlies?


India seems to have committed grave errors of judgement in this matter. First of all, it is amply clear that the FIFA event was planned sufficiently in advance, and India had committed itself to participation in that, and was accordingly slotted in a particular group of participants. Then why this sudden withdrawal? Is it only for the glitz attached to the name of Brazil? Or is it because Pakistan too was invited to participate, and was clubbed in the same division? We don’t know that, but what we come to know subsequently is about India’s replacement by Bangladesh in that vacant slot by FIFA. That again cannot be seen as a good development from any angle.


Secondly, are Indian policy-makers having a nap? How do they allow this twist in India’s Act East policy? This twist, though unintentional it may be, is highly undesirable when India should be making effort to get closer to ASEAN and its member states, aligning with the stated policy, and not switching on and off casually whenever it feels like. Thirdly, it is not only ASEAN but also particularly Indonesia, the host of the division India was placed in, and which figures prominently in many slots in India’s policy framework. During his last visit of July 2026 to Indonesia, PM Modi had reiterated many things of common interest between the two countries, emphasizing further tuning for strengthening collaborative Global South movement, and leading it from the neighbourhood. What about that? Some may argue that small things like sporting events don’t matter much. Some may stretch it further, pointing at Brazil as an emerging Global South power and try to balance things out. Such arguments are frivolous, to say the least. Relationships don’t grow on slogans and catch-phrases making waves in the air; they grow on a turf maintained through consistent & sincere efforts, and the perceptions they allow to form with their presence or absence.


Nurturing Relationships

India had, for many reasons, missed the bus in 1967 in getting inside ASEAN as a member state, despite having a strong civilizational connection with the region. It entered that orbit only a quarter century later, thanks to then Govt. of India’s ‘Look East’ pivot, and the urge of then ASEAN member states to move closer to balance out China’s aggressive presence. India made things more positive in 2014 by turning ‘Look’ into ‘Act’ East. But the show does not get over just by doing that, as some in India may like to believe. The relationship needs further nurturing, not treating it as a series of mere catchy episodes.


Last but not the least - the state of India’s policy intervention was visible to all during the Asia Cup cricket tournament last year when Indian team players refused to shake hands with their Pakistani counterparts as a decided gesture of national resentment at the backdrop of the Pahalgam terror attack supposedly mobilised by terror network operating from the Pakistani soil and with Pakistani state’s blessings. Then why no such intervention to reverse AIFF’s decision replacing ASEAN with Brazil? Or was that a gimmick, preferring more popular cricket’s turf to seek popularity for certain state policies?


(The writer is a Ph.D. researcher in international relations. Views personal.)

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