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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Fadnavis writes off Rs 48,000 crore

Mumbai: In a clear indication that the Maharashtra government is leaving no stone unturned to keep the state’s agrarian base happy, Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis has unleashed yet another massive populist measure. Hot on the heels of relaxing the eligibility criteria to ensure a blanket farm loan waiver, the Chief Minister announced a sweeping Rs 48,000 crore waiver on the pending electricity bills of farmers across the state. Addressing a ‘Krutadnyata Sohala’ (gratitude ceremony)...

Fadnavis writes off Rs 48,000 crore

Mumbai: In a clear indication that the Maharashtra government is leaving no stone unturned to keep the state’s agrarian base happy, Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis has unleashed yet another massive populist measure. Hot on the heels of relaxing the eligibility criteria to ensure a blanket farm loan waiver, the Chief Minister announced a sweeping Rs 48,000 crore waiver on the pending electricity bills of farmers across the state. Addressing a ‘Krutadnyata Sohala’ (gratitude ceremony) organized by the BJP Kisan Morcha at Mumbai’s Yashwantrao Chavan Pratishthan on Wednesday, Fadnavis declared that farmers using agricultural pumps of up to 7.5 horsepower will see their historical electricity dues completely wiped out. The announcement was met with the traditional sounding of the Tutari and thunderous applause from hundreds of farmers who had gathered from every corner of the state. The Chief Minister framed the mega-sop as a necessary step to “wipe the farmers’ slate clean,” enabling them to write a new chapter of prosperity. Calculated Pitch The timing and scale of the announcement underscore a government that is boldly embracing populist economics to solidify its political footprint in rural Maharashtra. While Fadnavis maintained that these decisions were taken purely in the interest of the farmers—pointing out that the original loan waiver was announced when no elections were in sight—the political undertones were unmistakable. Taking a sharp dig at the opposition, the Chief Minister accused rival parties of running “political shops” in the name of farmer agitations without understanding the government’s genuine intent. Asserting his grassroots connection, Fadnavis proudly claimed, “I do not make decisions sitting in my house. I am a farmer myself, a man of the soil.” He openly defended the government’s recent move to strip away the stringent conditions attached to the blanket farm loan waiver, signaling that his administration will not hesitate to clear bureaucratic hurdles if it means putting money directly into the hands of the rural voter. Balancing Sops Even as he rained freebies, the Chief Minister attempted to balance the populist optics with a dose of economic pragmatism. He acknowledged that handing out repeated loan waivers is a symptom of deep-rooted agrarian distress, not a permanent cure. Pointing to the Rs 95,000 crore in aid currently being pumped into the agricultural sector by the state and central governments, Fadnavis outlined his administration’s shift toward an investment-driven agricultural model. He championed the success of schemes like ‘Jalyukt Shivar’ and ‘Magel Tyala Shettale’ (farm ponds on demand), claiming these initiatives have already empowered farmers to harvest multiple crops a year. Addressing the core issue of farming costs, he noted that the government already subsidises power to the tune of Rs 25,000 crore annually. By coupling this with a push for solar pumps and solar agricultural feeders, he promised that 100 percent of the state’s farmers would receive uninterrupted daytime electricity by the end of the year. Infra Dream Looking beyond immediate financial relief, the Chief Minister laid out a grandiose vision to permanently drought-proof Maharashtra’s most vulnerable regions. A staggering Rs 6 lakh crore infrastructure pipeline is being planned to ensure the next generation never witnesses a drought. Fadnavis detailed ambitious river-linking projects, including the Wainganga-Nalganga link, to divert excess floodwaters to parched regions. The state plans to construct 24 new dams and raise the height of 16 existing ones to ensure not a single district in Vidarbha faces water scarcity. Furthermore, massive engineering feats are on the drawing board to divert 200 TMC of floodwater from Western Maharashtra to Marathwada, and lift 275 TMC of wasted water from the Ulhas basin to quench the thirst of North Maharashtra and Marathwada. By marrying immediate, massive debt relief with long-term infrastructure promises, the Fadnavis administration is aggressively cementing its pro-farmer narrative. As the Yashwantrao Chavan auditorium echoed with whistles and cheers, it became highly evident that the government’s strategy of pairing mega populist waivers with big-ticket rural dreams is striking a powerful chord with the state’s agrarian voters.

Caracas, 1976: The Apogee of Petro Power

The ongoing Iran war has unleashed one of the most severe energy shocks in decades. Our five-part series explores decisive moments when turmoil in the energy world changed the trajectory of geopolitics.


Barrels and Power - Part 5

 

Before striking Iran, Donald Trump shocked the world when American forces struck Caracas, captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and spirited him out of the country. Within hours, Trump went further when he declared he would “run” Venezuela while American oil companies would help rebuild - and profit from - the country’s shattered petroleum industry.


Trump’s brazen statement was revealing as Venezuela, home to the world’s largest proven oil reserves, was now no longer merely a failed petrostate but an ‘asset’ under American management. Power passed to Delcy Rodríguez whose authority has since rested on a delicate balance between domestic control and American backing.


Juan Pablo Pérez Alfonzo
Juan Pablo Pérez Alfonzo

The timing was hardly accidental. As the daily escalating conflict Iran threatens supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz, Venezuela’s dormant reserves acquired renewed strategic value. But this is not the first time Venezuela has appeared as a geopolitical prize


In the aftermath of the First World War, oil ceased to be merely a commodity and became an instrument of power. As demand surged, fears of shortage proliferated and petroleum’s strategic value (as demonstrated on Europe’s battlefields) reordered priorities in boardrooms and chancelleries alike.


Strategic Prize

Near the top of the priority list stood Venezuela. Its appeal lay in its politics. While Mexico, convulsed by revolution, had become inhospitable to foreign capital, Venezuela, by contrast, offered ‘predictability’ - though of a rather brutal kind.


Juan Vicente Gómez
Juan Vicente Gómez

That stability was the creation of Juan Vicente Gómez, who ruled from 1908 to 1935. Gómez, every inch the unenlightened despot, governed Venezuela as his fief. Illiterate but shrewd, he centralised power by ruthlessly subduing rivals and putting his personal network of sycophants in their place.


While he was a tyrant to foreign political observers, he was ‘reliable’ according to oilmen. For Gómez, oil was both fortune and foundation of Venezuela. It enriched him personally while underwriting the machinery of rule.


By 1913, Royal Dutch Shell was exploring around Lake Maracaibo. After the First World War, Standard Oil of New Jersey followed. While conditions in the unmapped terrain were appalling – floods and mosquitos being legion - the prize was irresistible.


The breakthrough came in 1922 with the Barroso No. 2 gusher near Cabimas, which blew out spectacularly, spilling tens of thousands of barrels a day and signalling to the world that Venezuela had joined the front rank of oil producers. By the late 1920s, it had become the world’s second-largest exporter.


The struggle for Venezuela marked the emergence of a new order in which oil, capital and state power became inseparable. Gómez’s death in 1935 left behind a country poor in development but rich in hydrocarbons. By the late 1930s, oil accounted for over 90 percent of its exports. Yet, the wealth flowed outward as the state remained a bystander.


Oil Sovereignty

That began to change with a new political generation. Among them was diplomat and politician Juan Pablo Pérez Alfonzo, who would help redefine the relationship between states and oil.


The Second World War sharpened Venezuela’s importance to the United States, creating the necessary space for reform. The result was the Petroleum Law of 1943 which birthed the ‘fifty-fifty’ principle wherein the state would claim half the profits. It was revolutionary. For the first time, a producing country asserted parity with the companies that extracted its resources.


Under Rómulo Betancourt, this principle deepened as Venezuela not only taxed oil but entered the market itself, selling crude directly.  However, Pérez Alfonzo, deeply wary of the volatility of oil markets, came to see petroleum as both a blessing and a curse. He called it the “the devil’s excrement.”


Drawing lessons from the dominance of Western majors, he worked with Saudi Arabia’s Abdullah Tariki to found the OPEC in 1960. Venezuela’s role was pivotal as it was a Latin American democracy that helped design a cartel later to become synonymous with Middle Eastern power.


If Venezuela pioneered oil sovereignty, it did so cautiously at first. Betancourt understood the risks. Oil already underpinned the economy. Nationalisation, he warned, would be reckless. Instead, the state tightened control without dismantling the system.


However, by the early 1970s, the concessionary model was unravelling. The Law of Reversion of 1971 ensured that oil assets would revert to the state. Investment faltered.


The final step came under Carlos Andrés Pérez. In January 1976, Venezuela formally nationalised its oil industry, creating the PDVSA. It was the high point of petro power. Venezuela’s nationalisation was distinctive for its pragmatism. Unlike more abrupt seizures elsewhere, it preserved human capital. By 1976, roughly 95 percent of the industry’s workforce including senior management was already Venezuelan. PDVSA was structured as a holding company overseeing a network of operating subsidiaries and, for a time, functioned with technocratic discipline and managerial autonomy.


At its height, PDVSA produced over 3 million barrels a day and expanded globally, acquiring refining assets abroad, including the CITGO network in the United States.


But if oil made Venezuela, it also unmade it. Pérez’s first presidency coincided with the windfall of the 1973 oil crisis of which the country was a major beneficiary as its revenues quadrupled. And with it, soared Pérez’s ambition. “We are going to change the world,” he declared.


For a moment, it seemed plausible as the middle class expanded and the state invested heavily. Venezuela appeared destined for modernity.


Petro-State in Crisis

But the boom masked a structural flaw. The state became dependent on oil revenues just as it expanded its commitments. When prices fell in the 1980s, the system strained under its own weight.


By the late 1980s, Venezuela had become the archetypal petro-state in crisis - its revenues shrinking even as obligations mounted. A growing share of income was diverted to servicing international debt, while economic distortions multiplied.


State controls multiplied as it fixed prices on almost everything from basic foodstuffs to coffee and even funerals, creating a rigid, overregulated economy unable to adapt. A rapidly growing population intensified the strain.


When Pérez returned in 1989 with a programme of reform, the backlash was violent. The Caracazo riots, which left hundreds of protestors dead, exposed the fragility beneath the petro-state.


Into this crisis stepped Hugo Chávez. His rise was as dramatic as it was improbable. In February 1992, as a young lieutenant colonel, Chávez had led a failed coup against Pérez.


Though the uprising collapsed, his calm and defiant televised address transformed him overnight into a national figure. Released from prison in 1994, he reinvented himself as a political insurgent, railing against corruption and inequality. Chávez harnessed public anger and reshaped the system, bringing the PDVSA firmly under state control.


Chávez’s worldview was profoundly shaped by his alliance with Fidel Castro, whom he regarded as mentor and ideological guide. Venezuela became Cuba’s banker, supplying heavily subsidised oil in exchange for doctors, intelligence support and political counsel. Through initiatives like Petrocaribe, Chávez extended this model across the Caribbean, turning oil into a tool of regional influence and anti-American solidarity.


Domestically, Chávez dismantled PDVSA’s autonomy. Its revenues were redirected into the central government, funding expansive welfare programmes and political projects, but at the cost of investment and long-term capacity. A devastating strike in 2002–03 led to mass dismissals of skilled staff, hollowing out the company’s technical expertise.


By the time Maduro took power, mismanagement, corruption and sanctions triggered a collapse in production. Venezuela, once a titan of oil, became a basket case.


Production, which had surged by nearly 40 percent during the 1990s under the policy of ‘La Apertura’ - a pragmatic reopening to foreign investment championed by PDVSA chief Luis Giusti, now went into reverse. The Orinoco heavy oil belt, the future of Venezuelan output, languished without capital and technology.


By the late 2010s, output had fallen below one million barrels per day as hyperinflation ravaged the economy, and millions fled the country, creating one of the largest migration crises in the modern Americas.


Yet, Venezuela still sits atop more than 300 billion barrels of proven reserves, much of it concentrated in the Orinoco Belt - the single greatest accumulation of extra-heavy crude on the planet. If the Maduro coup is anything to go by, it reinforces the fact that however battered a petrostate Venezuela may be, in an age of tightening supply and unceasing conflict, it remains too vast a prize for any superpower to ignore.

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