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21 August 2024 at 10:20:16 am

Strategic Warmth

Donald Trump’s lavish praise of Narendra Modi on the sidelines of the G7 summit offered a familiar lesson that in international affairs, there is often a vast gulf between atmospherics and reality. Whether it translates into warmer U.S. policy towards India after a period of pretty intense frostiness is another matter. Trump, who only months ago was disparaging India with the sort of rhetorical abandon usually reserved for political opponents, suddenly rediscovered his affection for the...

Strategic Warmth

Donald Trump’s lavish praise of Narendra Modi on the sidelines of the G7 summit offered a familiar lesson that in international affairs, there is often a vast gulf between atmospherics and reality. Whether it translates into warmer U.S. policy towards India after a period of pretty intense frostiness is another matter. Trump, who only months ago was disparaging India with the sort of rhetorical abandon usually reserved for political opponents, suddenly rediscovered his affection for the world’s largest democracy. The American president described Modi as a “tough trader” while simultaneously calling him “an angel.” It was the sort of praise-soaked performance that recalled the heady days of ‘Howdy Modi’ and ‘Namaste Trump.’ Yet, seasoned observers of Trump know that his compliments are often as revealing as they are unreliable. Few world leaders have demonstrated such a remarkable capacity to oscillate between criticism and admiration as Trump. One moment India is a troublesome trading partner; the next it is an indispensable ally, never mind the U.S. willingness to indulge Pakistan’s anti-India machinations. The contradiction does not seem to trouble Trump. The question is whether Washington is genuinely attempting to repair ties with New Delhi after a period of growing strain. For all the noise generated by tariff disputes, immigration restrictions and occasional diplomatic irritants, the strategic logic underpinning the relationship has only strengthened. China’s growing assertiveness has convinced successive American administrations, regardless of party, that a stable balance of power in Asia is impossible without Indian participation. Trump may possess little patience for traditional alliances, but even he understands this arithmetic. His declaration that America would assist India if attacked was particularly notable, given that the U.S. rushed to shield Pakistan after Operation Sindoor. That said, the obstacles that have complicated the Indo-U.S. relationship have not disappeared. Trade remains a perennial source of friction. Trump continues to view international commerce through a mercantilist lens, measuring success largely through bilateral balances and tariff concessions. Indian professionals and students remain deeply affected by American visa policies. Modi himself raised concerns about the safety of Indian seafarers following recent American military actions in the Gulf of Oman that resulted in Indian casualties. Going by Trump’s record, personal rapport be mistaken for institutional trust. The history of Indo-American relations is littered with moments of enthusiasm followed by disappointment. What has sustained the partnership in recent years is not chemistry between leaders but a convergence of interests. That may ultimately be the most important takeaway from the latest Modi-Trump encounter. The meeting was less a revival of an old friendship than an acknowledgement of mutual necessity. Smiles and compliments make for good television. They may even indicate that both governments are seeking to lower the temperature after months of tension. But in the Trump era, warm words are among the cheapest commodities in international politics.

Degrees Without Destiny: The Great Indian Placement Illusion

As IT hiring collapses, India’s universities stand exposed as assembly lines for jobs that no longer exist.

Consider three names. Google. Facebook. Dell. Each of them was built inside a college dormitory. Google was a doctoral project at Stanford in 1996; its parent company is today worth over three trillion dollars. Facebook was a side experiment in a Harvard dorm in 2004; it now reaches half the planet. Dell began in a University of Texas dormitory in 1984, assembled by a nineteen-year-old pre-medical student with a thousand dollars of family money; the company is worth nearly ninety billion dollars today.


The list extends further. Microsoft traces its origins to Bill Gates's years at Harvard. Snapchat was a product-design class assignment at Stanford. Yahoo emerged from a Stanford dormitory. FedEx was first described in a term paper at Yale, where the professor famously gave it an average grade. Nike was conceived in a Stanford MBA classroom, where Phil Knight turned a small-business course assignment into a running-shoe company that now sits among the world's most valuable brands. Hewlett-Packard was founded by two Stanford graduates and seeded by their own professor, Frederick Terman, who personally lent them the money to begin.


Each of these companies was launched by a student, inside a university that understood its role extended well beyond teaching, into incubating.


Name a single Indian college that has produced a globally significant, billion-dollar enterprise from its own campus, built while its founders were still enrolled there. This ought to trouble every Indian vice-chancellor.


India’s best-known startups like Flipkart, Ola and Zomato were founded by IIT alumni. Each became a company years after its founders had left campus, financed by external venture capital and built entirely outside the institutional ecosystem that had trained them.


India has never developed what America has taken sixty years to perfect: a university culture in which students build companies on campus, with campus capital, campus mentorship and campus infrastructure; where professors do not merely teach theory but back the best student ideas; where institutions take equity, accept risk and celebrate the founder alongside the topper.

 

Economic Emergency

In financial year 2021-22, India's top five IT services companies together hired roughly 1.8 lakh freshers. TCS alone onboarded close to one lakh, the highest single-year fresher intake by any IT services firm in India's history. Across the sector, nearly six lakh young graduates found employment in a single year.


This year, TCS has announced 25,000 fresher offers - a decline of seventy-five per cent from its peak. Industry-wide fresher hiring in FY24 collapsed to about sixty thousand, a ninety per cent fall from FY22. Wipro has reduced headcount by over 25,000 in two years. Infosys has shed more than 12,000. Entry-level recruitment now accounts for just fifteen per cent of total demand, a category that once formed the backbone of the industry.


This is not a cyclical correction but a permanent restructuring. AI is handling the routine work while global clients are consolidating vendors. And the Indian IT industry, which for three decades served as the employer of last resort for the Indian graduate, is quietly closing that door. Our education system was built to feed that industry. But that industry has stopped asking for seconds.


The American response to a similar question, half a century ago, was not to wait for industry to generate jobs. It was to build its own engine of enterprise inside its universities. Stanford alone has produced companies whose combined market value exceeds the GDP of most nations, not because its students were more gifted than ours, but because its campuses were architected as factories of enterprise rather than factories of employees.


The Stanford Technology Licensing Office opened in 1970. It existed for a single purpose: to help faculty and students turn research into companies. The university took equity in those companies rather than charging licensing fees. StartX, its student accelerator, has seeded over a thousand ventures. Faculty were not just permitted to consult for industry, they were expected to, because the theory and the practice were meant to feed each other. The professor who lent William Hewlett and David Packard money was not an exception. He was a template.


Lingering Deficit

While India undoubtedly has the talent, what it has never built is the architecture. Our IITs rank respectably in global listings. Our teenagers routinely win international olympiads. Yet one cannot name a single Indian campus that can claim, with confidence, to have birthed a world-changing company within its walls while its founders were still enrolled. That deficit must now be closed, and closed quickly.


Every Indian university must house a functioning incubation laboratory on campus. Not a ceremonial room behind a signboard, but a funded, staffed and operational facility in which students begin building products from their first year. Seed capital must come from the college itself, from industry partners and from alumni. Real entrepreneurs must mentor. Academic credit must flow to companies built, not only to examinations cleared.


Consider the arithmetic. If a mid-sized private engineering college with ten thousand students committed just one per cent of its annual fee revenue to an internal seed fund, it would have enough capital to back thirty student startups a year with five lakh rupees each. One in thirty might become meaningful. One in three hundred might become transformative. One in three thousand might become the company that rewrites that college’s history, and India’s.


No college in India is doing this arithmetic even though every college should be. Colleges should take equity stakes in the student companies that emerge from these incubators. That single shift would transform how an institution sees its own students: no longer as fee-paying units awaiting placement, but as the future wealth of the institution itself. Harvard University's endowment, worth over fifty billion dollars, is built in no small part on the wealth created by its own former students. An Indian college that holds even a small stake in a handful of its graduates’ companies could, within a decade, transform its own financial future and its research capacity.


Launchpads, not Placement Agencies

The most celebrated graduate of an Indian college should no longer be the one who cleared the highest placement package. It should be the one who no longer needed a placement at all.


Back then to Google, Facebook and Dell. None of them has an Indian equivalent, because India built its higher education to produce workers for someone else’s economy and that economy is no longer hiring at volume.


The next Google can emerge from an Indian campus. But only if Indian colleges decide to stop functioning as placement agencies and start functioning as launchpads.


Our universities today stand for the safety of syllabi. The world has moved. Our colleges must move with it, or be left explaining, to a generation that deserved better, why the door they were promised was already closed before they reached it.


(The writer is a strategy and transformation leader with experience across IT and ITES industries. He writes on technology and the future of work. He can be reached out at  abhisheknjain5@gmail.com. Views personal.)

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