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By:

Correspondent

21 August 2024 at 10:20:16 am

Price Check

Maharashtra’s decision to keep ready reckoner (RR) rates unchanged for 2026–27 is a rare moment of restraint in a property market accustomed to incremental inflation. The move, justified by the government on grounds of the ongoing US–Iran conflict and a visible cooling in parts of the real estate sector, offers immediate, if modest, relief. In cities like Mumbai, where even marginal policy shifts can swell transaction costs, the freeze is sensible. But it is not sufficient. If affordability...

Price Check

Maharashtra’s decision to keep ready reckoner (RR) rates unchanged for 2026–27 is a rare moment of restraint in a property market accustomed to incremental inflation. The move, justified by the government on grounds of the ongoing US–Iran conflict and a visible cooling in parts of the real estate sector, offers immediate, if modest, relief. In cities like Mumbai, where even marginal policy shifts can swell transaction costs, the freeze is sensible. But it is not sufficient. If affordability is the goal, prices themselves must fall by at least 10–15 percent in order to offer relief to customers. RR rates, which determine stamp duty and registration values, effectively set a floor for property transactions. In a high-cost market, even a 3–4 percent annual increase as seen in recent years can translate into a meaningful rise in upfront costs for buyers. Last year’s hikes - 3.39 percent in Mumbai and 4.39 percent across the state - came after a two-year hiatus, itself preceded by modest increases during the pandemic years. By holding rates steady now, the state is acknowledging both the resilience and the limits of housing demand. The post-pandemic surge in real estate fuelled by low interest rates, pent-up demand and a rush for larger homes, has begun to taper. Luxury housing has remained buoyant, but the mid-income segment, particularly in Mumbai, is showing signs of strain. Developers, through their industry bodies such as CREDAI, have flagged a market that is increasingly sensitive to price. Freezing RR rates removes one source of upward pressure. It ensures no additional burden via stamp duty-linked costs, introduces a degree of predictability in pricing, and offers a marginal improvement in affordability. For homebuyers, that is no small comfort. For developers, it provides clarity in an uncertain environment. But a freeze is not a correction. It is, at best, a holding operation. The deeper problem lies in the widening gap between property prices and household incomes. In many urban pockets, particularly in Mumbai and its extended metropolitan region, valuations remain elevated relative to what most buyers can realistically afford. Developers fear that overt price cuts could erode margins and unsettle investor sentiment. But a stagnant market carries its own risks.   Housing markets function best when they are credible. That credibility depends on a shared understanding between buyers, sellers and the state of what constitutes fair value. The state’s parallel efforts of refining valuation tables, updating land records, and incorporating new survey data are steps in the right direction. They promise greater accuracy without altering headline pricing. But better data cannot substitute for better alignment between prices and purchasing power. By freezing RR rates, the Maharashtra government has avoided adding friction to an already delicate market. But prudence must now extend beyond policy into pricing. For now, the government has pressed pause. The market must press reset.

India bears the brunt: Nifty crashes 1,100, Sensex nosedives 3,900 points after US trade shock



India woke up to a financial jolt this morning as its equity markets suffered their steepest fall in nearly a year, shaken by the ripple effects of US President Donald Trump’s aggressive new tariff regime. The Sensex plunged over 3,900 points at opening bell, while the Nifty tumbled more than 1,100 points, dragging Indian stocks to a 10-month low.


This sharp decline follows a global equity rout triggered by Trump's protectionist measures, which have sent panic waves across Asia and raised the spectre of a global recession. Investors dumped shares in a massive sell-off, with Indian benchmarks reacting sharply in early trade. The Sensex dropped to 71,425.01 — down 3,939.68 points — while Nifty slipped to 21,743.65, marking a 3.5% slide from the last session.


Adding to the pressure, the Indian rupee depreciated 30 paise to open at 85.74 against the US dollar.


India Among the Hardest Hit

Trump’s latest tariff hike — framed as a push to restore fairness to global trade — has imposed country-specific duties that go as high as 50%. India has been slapped with a 26% tariff, while a 10% baseline duty applies to all nations. This has set alarm bells ringing among Indian exporters and traders already struggling with global demand volatility.


President Trump, unfazed by the financial carnage, likened the move to a bitter but necessary cure. “Sometimes you need the medicine to fix something,” he told reporters earlier today.


Analysts Urge Economic Safeguards

Market experts believe that India's current market turmoil isn't rooted in domestic issues but is rather a consequence of being tightly woven into global investment flows.


“India will face the heat, not due to domestic reasons, but as an interlinked chain in the global portfolio flows,” said Ajay Bagga, a noted market expert. “India will need a fiscal, monetary, and reform package to protect the domestic economy from this global economic winter that is threatening to settle in.”


Sunil Gurjar, SEBI-registered research analyst, warned that the Nifty50 index has breached its first support level and is approaching the next. "A further breakdown could worsen the trend and accelerate the fall," he cautioned.


Asian Markets Bleed

The tremors from Trump's announcement were first felt in Asia, with key markets suffering steep losses. China's stock markets fell over 4% amid retaliatory tariffs of 34% against the US. Hong Kong's Hang Seng nosedived more than 10%, while Japan’s Nikkei index fell 6.5% after plunging 8% earlier in the day. Taiwan saw a near-10% collapse, and Singapore dropped over 8%.


Wall Street Braces for Impact

US markets, though yet to open, appear set for a rough start. Futures contracts on the New York Stock Exchange are sharply down, suggesting heavy losses once trading resumes.


Market sentiment globally has turned bearish, with fears of a looming recession taking hold. Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management described the scene as “free-fall mode,” noting, “Trump’s team isn’t blinking. The tariffs are being treated as a victory lap, not a bargaining chip.”

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