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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 4:59:11 pm

MLC polls expose cracks in Mahayuti, MVA

AI Generated Image Mumbai: The upcoming Maharashtra Legislative Council (MLC) elections for the graduate and teacher constituencies have laid bare the deep-seated fissures within both the ruling Mahayuti and the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) alliances. In a significant development that could have far-reaching political implications, multiple rebel candidates, including prominent figures with strong party affiliations, have defied alliance dictates to file their nominations as...

MLC polls expose cracks in Mahayuti, MVA

AI Generated Image Mumbai: The upcoming Maharashtra Legislative Council (MLC) elections for the graduate and teacher constituencies have laid bare the deep-seated fissures within both the ruling Mahayuti and the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) alliances. In a significant development that could have far-reaching political implications, multiple rebel candidates, including prominent figures with strong party affiliations, have defied alliance dictates to file their nominations as independents, setting the stage for high-stakes, multi-cornered contests. Mahayuti Turmoil The Mahayuti alliance, comprising the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena, and the Ajit Pawar-led Nationalist Congress Party (NCP), is grappling with rebellion on multiple fronts. In the critical Nagpur Graduates constituency, a traditional BJP stronghold, former BJP MLC and Nagpur Mayor Anil Sole has thrown a spanner in the works by filing his nomination as an independent candidate. This move directly challenges the official BJP candidate, Sudhakar Kohale. While the BJP leadership, including state president Ravindra Chavan, has attempted to downplay the situation, asserting that Sole has been "pacified," the former MLC's actions tell a different story. Sole's decision to contest independently is particularly significant given his long-standing association with the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) and his previous stint as a BJP MLC from the very same constituency. The situation is equally complicated in the Amravati Teachers constituency. The Shiv Sena (Shinde faction) has officially fielded Kiran Sarnaik. However, adding to the confusion, Sangita Shinde, sister of BJP MP Anil Bonde, has also entered the fray, potentially splitting the Mahayuti vote. The opposition MVA is also facing its share of internal discord here. While the Congress has nominated Aditi Pohre, daughter of former minister Harshvardhan Deshmukh, the Shiv Sena (UBT) has fielded Dattatray Lahane. The presence of numerous candidates representing various teachers' organizations further complicates the electoral arithmetic in this constituency. Opposition Rebellion The Chhatrapati Sambhaji Nagar Graduates constituency has witnessed another surprise development. While the NCP's sitting MLC, Satish Chavan, was widely considered the frontrunner, the BJP's M.K. Deshmukh has unexpectedly filed his nomination as a rebel candidate, catching the Mahayuti leadership completely off guard. The MVA, too, is facing rebellion in this constituency. Although the seat was officially allocated to the NCP (Sharad Pawar faction), Shiv Sena (UBT)'s Dilip Ghuge has also filed his nomination, causing significant heartburn within the opposition alliance. The Pune constituencies present a microcosm of the larger alliance troubles. In the Pune Graduates constituency, the BJP has fielded Dr. Smita Jadhav, the daughter-in-law of Pratap Singh Jadhav, owner of the 'Pudhari' news group and niece of Congress leader Satej Patil. Adding intrigue to this contest is the fact that she is contesting against Harshada Deshmukh-Jadhav, the official candidate of the NCP (Sharad Pawar faction). However, the real drama is unfolding in the Pune Teachers constituency. The BJP's official candidate, Koustubh Gawde, is facing a formidable challenge from Mangesh Chiwate, a close confidant of Chief Minister Eknath Shinde. Chiwate, a former journalist who handled the CM's medical aid cell while Shinde was the CM, has claimed that his party leadership has provided him with the crucial 'AB' form, signaling official backing. Commenting on the chaotic situation, Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis acknowledged that seat-sharing talks remained inconclusive in some areas but expressed hope that the alliance partners would eventually reach an agreement. The true picture of the electoral battlefield will only emerge after Friday, October 9th, the last date for the withdrawal of nominations. Until then, both alliances will be working overtime to contain the rebellions and present a united front, but the deep cracks exposed by these developments suggest that the upcoming MLC elections will be fiercely contested and highly unpredictable.

The Chintzy Warcraft

May 31, 2025
4 min read

“A Chinese-made jet brought down the Indian aircraft,” the Pakistani disinformation on Operation Sindoor made headlines in leading Western prints. Some reported two jets downed, while others claimed that five crashed, all without any real evidence to back their stand. Nonetheless, China capitalised on these baseless reports to market its defence equipment. “There is no better advertisement than a real combat situation,” the Chinese experts exclaimed. The grapevine spread, and in just two days, the stock value of the Chinese jet-maker crept up by 36%. But the hype did not last long. Following the clear briefings by Indian defence chiefs and a fiery speech by Prime Minister Modi, Chinese stocks plummeted much like their faulty aircraft.


China is one of the world’s top five exporters of war machines, mainly luring developing countries with its low-cost pricing and flexible financing. Western nations often accuse China of providing arms to insurgent groups and terrorists. All those lacking access to Western supplies turn to China for their arms needs, as China pays no heed to their background, financial credibility, human rights records or its potential vulnerability to Western embargoes.


At a time when the world has fragmented into conflict zones that developed voracious appetites for all sorts of arms, China’s cheaper weapons and favourable trade terms have failed to boost its overseas demand.


The SIPRI March 2025 Fact Sheet states that from 2015-19 to 2020-24, America’s share in global arms exports rose by 21%, France’s arms exports grew by 11%, and Italy saw a remarkable surge of 132%. In contrast, the share of Russian military exports declined by 64% for obvious reasons. As for China, despite a surge in the global arms trade and Russia’s shift in focus towards domestic sales, Chinese weapons failed to grab rising export opportunities. The report reveals that Chinese arms exports have reduced by 5.4%. China’s vast defence budgets, modernisation claims and aggressive export strategies failed to appear in its export figures. Some may contend that China is strengthening its home arsenal. But the reports on China’s high debt levels and its deepening fiscal deficits have other stories to tell. Apparently, the subpar performance of its war machines is the key reason stalling China’s progress in securing global arms deals.


Importers of Chinese-made military equipment often encounter difficulties due to poor quality, frequent malfunctions, and complex repair processes. In 2022, the Myanmar Air Force had to ground its entire fleet of Chinese JF-17s due to structural flaws. Pakistan, the co-producer (?) of the JF-17, also struggles to procure spare parts for its large fleet! Maintaining these fighter jets is challenging because they are designed and developed (reverse-engineered) by China, assembled in Pakistan, and equipped with Russian engines rendering them unreliable in combat scenarios. It is no surprise that the aircraft experienced crashes during the Russia-Ukraine war due to technical glitches. Bangladesh and Nigeria, the two long-standing customers of Chinese warcraft, have also encountered similar difficulties with Chinese planes. And yet, for a long time, China tried to sell not a new but the same faulty toy in the most profitable arms market, the Middle East! These efforts have largely fallen flat, indicating significant reservations about Chinese-made fourth-generation jets.


For years, China has been projecting its military might by keeping its defence data secret and making pompous claims about its technology on the global stage. The latest instance of this is of its PL-15 missiles. This Chinese PL-15 had drawn comparisons to advanced missiles developed by Europe and the United States. It was deployed for the first time during Operation Sindoor. And voila! In a real-combat situation, the Chinese missile missed its target, failed to detonate, and glided intact on Indian plains. During Operation Sindoor, the Chinese HQ-9 and HQ-16, a cheap copy of the Russian air defence system, were triggered by Indian dummy aircraft and destroyed by the Indian missiles in no time! The Chinese YLC-8E, a so-called super radar capable of detecting American 5th-generation fighter jets, was blown by India’s 4th-generation war machine. Pakistan’s Chinese Radar and ADS now lie in ruins.


Several old news reports indicate that Iran and Saudi Arabia were keen on acquiring Chinese 4th/ 4.5-generation warplanes. Similar reports have emerged recently following Trump’s historic return to the Middle East! With a few trillion worth of agreements, the American President returned on a free (?) Boeing, without a word on the American F-35, a 5th-generation fighter plane that the petroleum states are eager to buy. America wants to safeguard its advanced aircraft from Chinese espionage; many experts contend that the oil region may lean towards China for 5th-generation fighter jets. However, considering the Chinese equipment debacle in Operation Sindoor and ongoing US civil nuclear cooperation talks in the Middle East, Chinese warplanes may not enter the Middle Eastern fleet anytime soon.


When India’s dummy aircraft spotted Pakistani radars, when ‘BrahMos’ and ‘SCALP’ missiles destroyed them with speed and precision and when India’s ‘Rudram’ silenced enemy systems, India’s military might and wisdom left the world awe-struck! Our indigenous surveillance system, ‘NETRA’, became eyes to all three military domains and tracked enemy fighters far beyond Indian skies. Meanwhile, ‘Akash’ with AI-enabled ‘AkashTeer’ served as an impenetrable shield, bringing down Turkish drones like Autumn leaves. Indian missiles rained down on an airbase just a few kilometres from Pakistani Army headquarters and damaged the runways hosting Chinese fighters. When our missiles and drones picked out enemy targets unhindered like free-flying hawks, the world was awe-struck. The Atmanirbhar Bharat exposed the vulnerability of not just Turkey, Chinese, and Pakistani machines but also the multibillion-dollar Western defence systems that Pakistan got during the Afghanistan crisis. Operation Sindoor busted the myth of China’s military might, a devastating blow to its arms export dreams. India’s defence stock surged, boldly stating that the Chintzy warcraft can only show a sky circus.


(The writer is a foreign affairs expert. Views personal.)

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