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21 August 2024 at 3:50:16 pm

Arid State

Maharashtra has finally put an official number on a crisis that farmers have been experiencing for weeks. The state government has declared 265 of its 358 talukas drought-affected, activating the first stage of its drought-management framework. The scale of the distress should make this more than another seasonal relief exercise. It is a reminder that water stress is no longer an episodic crisis but a recurring governance challenge. The state received 798.2 mm of rain against a normal 970.9...

Arid State

Maharashtra has finally put an official number on a crisis that farmers have been experiencing for weeks. The state government has declared 265 of its 358 talukas drought-affected, activating the first stage of its drought-management framework. The scale of the distress should make this more than another seasonal relief exercise. It is a reminder that water stress is no longer an episodic crisis but a recurring governance challenge. The state received 798.2 mm of rain against a normal 970.9 mm between June 1 and September 26, a deficit of 18 percent. The first drought trigger is activated when rainfall falls more than 25 percent below normal and is accompanied by a prolonged dry spell of 21 days. Though the aggregate state deficit is lower than that threshold, the taluka-level assessment has established the conditions required for intervention. Except for five districts, rainfall has been deficient across the state. The government has ordered a stay on the recovery of agriculture-related loans and restructuring of crop loans, while extending concessions on electricity bills for agricultural pumps. Employment Guarantee Scheme norms are to be relaxed; food grains provided to farmers and arrangements made for drinking water and fodder. Crop-loss surveys will determine the eventual financial assistance. While these measures can cushion the shock, they cannot solve the problem. Maharashtra has lived with drought long enough for drought relief to have become an administrative routine. The more difficult question is why the state repeatedly finds itself having to mobilise the same machinery. Tankers, fodder camps, loan restructuring and employment guarantees are indispensable when the rains fail. But they are essentially the politics and economics of response, not resilience. The state has considerable experience in watershed development, farm ponds, check dams, groundwater recharge and other forms of water conservation. Yet the effectiveness of such interventions depends less on announcing them than on where they are built, whether they are maintained and whether groundwater extraction is regulated. Large-scale water-conservation works announced as part of the present relief package must therefore be judged by measurable outcomes rather than expenditure. There is a larger agricultural question. A state with highly variable rainfall cannot indefinitely expand water-intensive cropping patterns in regions whose hydrology cannot support them. Crop choices, irrigation efficiency and groundwater management have to become part of drought policy rather than being treated as separate subjects. The present declaration should consequently be viewed as both relief and warning. While the relief is urgent, the warning is structural. The state government cannot control the monsoon but it can decide how much water it captures when the rains arrive, how efficiently it uses what it stores and how resilient its farmers are when the skies fail. A drought code can declare an emergency. But only sustained water management can prevent the emergency from becoming routine.

The Cost of Going Global

18 minutes ago
4 min read

In a more fragmented global economy, India’s competitiveness will depend not just on what it makes, but on the cost of getting it to the world.

AI generated image
AI generated image

At a time when India is trying to build itself into a major manufacturing and export hub, the cost of getting a product from a factory to a foreign buyer is becoming as important as the cost of making it.


A manufacturer can produce competitively and still lose that advantage to expensive freight, port delays, insurance, customs procedures, certification requirements or the cost of financing an order. As geopolitical disruptions, tariffs and fragmented supply chains add further uncertainty to global commerce, these costs are becoming harder for exporters to ignore.


For India, this shift presents both an opportunity and a challenge. As the country seeks to expand its manufacturing base, attract global supply chains and raise merchandise exports, competitiveness can no longer be measured by production costs alone. The cost of moving, financing, certifying and delivering a product to an overseas market matters just as much. The question, therefore, is not simply whether India can produce more, but whether it can remain competitive in a world where the cost of participating in global trade is rising.


Rising Trade Costs

When countries discuss trade competitiveness, tariffs often receive the most attention. But for an exporter, the cost of entering a foreign market extends far beyond the customs duty paid at the border. Freight, insurance, port handling, warehousing, customs procedures, certification, financing and delays can all determine whether a product remains competitive once it reaches its destination.


These costs become particularly important when supply chains are disrupted. A longer shipping route can raise freight and insurance expenses, while delays can force firms to hold larger inventories or absorb penalties from buyers. At the same time, businesses exporting to multiple markets must navigate different product standards, documentation requirements and rules of origin. For large corporations, these may be manageable operational costs. For smaller firms operating on thin margins, they can become a barrier to exporting altogether.


If international trade becomes structurally more expensive, reducing costs within India's own export ecosystem becomes increasingly important. Lower logistics and compliance costs cannot eliminate global disruptions, but they can determine how much of that additional burden ultimately falls on Indian exporters.

India’s exposure to rising trade costs is particularly significant because its global trade ambitions are expanding. The country is seeking to increase merchandise exports, attract multinational companies into its manufacturing ecosystem and position itself as an alternative production base within increasingly diversified global supply chains.


But becoming part of a global supply chain requires more than competitive factory-gate prices. A manufacturer may produce a component at a competitive cost and still lose the advantage if transporting it to a port is expensive, customs clearance is slow, or imported inputs face lengthy compliance procedures. In globally integrated production, even small frictions can accumulate across multiple stages of the supply chain.

This creates a policy challenge for India. The country cannot control international shipping rates, foreign tariffs or geopolitical disruptions. What it can influence is the cost and predictability of trade within its own borders. Ports, roads, railways, warehousing and access to trade finance therefore become part of India’s export competitiveness.


The MSME Constraint

For India’s smaller exporters, the problem is the cumulative cost of reaching that demand. An MSME entering an overseas market must deal with product standards, certifications, packaging requirements, customs documentation, logistics, payment risks and working-capital requirements often without the scale or specialised teams available to larger firms.


This creates an important distinction between being capable of producing an exportable product and being capable of exporting it consistently. A small manufacturer may have a competitive product but lack the resources to obtain international certifications, identify overseas buyers or manage the financial gap between production and payment. Higher freight or compliance costs can then make the economics of a small export order unattractive.


The consequences extend beyond individual firms. If global supply chains increasingly favour suppliers that can deliver at scale, on time and with predictable compliance, India’s ability to broaden its exporter base will depend on whether smaller firms can overcome these fixed costs.


Bringing more MSMEs into international trade would diversify India’s export base while allowing smaller firms to move beyond domestic markets. The challenge is therefore not simply to reduce the cost of exports, but to reduce the entry cost of becoming an exporter.


India has increasingly recognised that export competitiveness depends on the efficiency of the entire logistics chain. Initiatives such as PM Gati Shakti and the National Logistics Policy aim to improve infrastructure coordination, reduce bottlenecks and make the movement of goods more efficient. Digitisation of customs and trade documentation has also helped reduce procedural friction.


But infrastructure is only one part of the equation. Exporters, particularly MSMEs, also face challenges around working capital, trade finance, certification and access to overseas markets. A faster port cannot fully solve the problem if a small firm cannot afford the financing or compliance costs required to reach that port.


India’s challenge is to make the entire export journey cheaper, faster and more predictable.


Global trade is unlikely to return to the low-cost, frictionless environment that defined much of the previous era of globalisation. For India, this makes domestic efficiency more important, not less. The country cannot control global freight rates, geopolitical disruptions or foreign trade barriers, but it can reduce the costs that exporters face at home.


India’s next export advantage may therefore come not only from producing more cheaply, but from making it easier and cheaper to trade. If India can lower logistics, financing and compliance costs, it can turn a more fragmented global trading system into an opportunity for deeper and more diversified participation in global trade.


(The writer is an economics postgraduate from Jawaharlal Nehru University with research interests in economic policy, trade and global governance. Views personal.)

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