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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Mahayuti struggles with seat-sharing formula

Mumbai: The ruling Mahayuti alliance is currently navigating a treacherous political minefield. With the crucial Legislative Council elections rapidly approaching, deep-seated differences over seat-sharing have surfaced. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday offered a candid admission of these unresolved disputes. His statements underscore the immense pressure on the coalition partners. The state is preparing to vote for sixteen council seats and one bypoll seat in Nagpur. Voting is...

Mahayuti struggles with seat-sharing formula

Mumbai: The ruling Mahayuti alliance is currently navigating a treacherous political minefield. With the crucial Legislative Council elections rapidly approaching, deep-seated differences over seat-sharing have surfaced. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday offered a candid admission of these unresolved disputes. His statements underscore the immense pressure on the coalition partners. The state is preparing to vote for sixteen council seats and one bypoll seat in Nagpur. Voting is scheduled for June 18, with the all-important counting set for June 22. Addressing the media after inaugurating the Jawahar Balbhavan in Mumbai, Fadnavis sought to project a calm exterior. He emphasised that detailed discussions are still ongoing to evaluate various aspects of the electoral battle. He expressed confidence that the alliance would soon reach an amicable solution. However, the specific geographies he mentioned reveal the exact fault lines. Negotiations with the Shiv Sena are heavily concentrated on Chhatrapati Sambhaji Nagar and Nashik. Meanwhile, talks with the Nationalist Congress Party are focused squarely on Pune. Alliance Arithmatic The arithmetic of the alliance is proving incredibly difficult to balance. The Shiv Sena had firmly demanded seven seats even as the BJP was offering only 3. They justify this claim by pointing to their strong support bases in Mumbai, Thane, Raigad, Sambhajinagar, Ratnagiri, Nashik, and Yavatmal. The Bharatiya Janata Party has a vastly different calculation. The BJP plans to assert its dominance by contesting twelve seats. This aggressive stance would leave only three seats for the Sena and a mere two seats for the Sunetra Pawar-led NCP. With the nomination process already underway, the clock is ticking loudly for the Mahayuti leadership. This intense internal friction prompted a sudden political maneuver by Deputy Chief Minister and Shiv Sena chief Eknath Shinde. He flew to New Delhi over the weekend amid the escalating deadlock. Sena sources indicated that Shinde sought the intervention of the BJP’s central leadership. A Sena minister, however, quickly tried to downplay the optics of the trip. He insisted that Shinde travelled for an unscheduled programme before heading to Bengaluru for a planned event. Despite these official denials, the timing strongly suggests a high-stakes crisis intervention. Bitter Conflict The most bitter conflict within the alliance centers on the Thane local authorities constituency. Both the BJP and the Shinde-led Sena are fiercely staking their claims. A BJP legislator recently argued that political tickets should be distributed based strictly on numerical strength. He pointed out that the BJP commands 444 corporators in the region. In stark contrast, the Shinde-led Sena and the allied Jijau organisation possess a combined total of only 346 corporators. However, political reality in Maharashtra is rarely dictated by numbers alone. The Shinde faction views Thane as its emotional and traditional stronghold. Surrendering this territory to their alliance partner is considered politically unthinkable. This local dispute is already threatening to severely damage the broader coalition. A Sena Member of Parliament recently issued a stark warning regarding the upcoming Thane Zilla Parishad elections. He boldly asserted that Sena workers are fully prepared to fight alone and hoist their saffron flag, regardless of the alliance’s survival. The battle lines are extending further across the state map. The Sena is demanding the Jalgaon seat, which the BJP is equally determined to contest. Furthermore, reports suggest the Sena is preparing to unilaterally field a candidate in Raigad. This would further complicate the already delicate negotiations. Despite these mounting tensions, BJP minister Girish Mahajan has publicly maintained that the deadlock will be resolved shortly. A final decision now rests on an impending high-level meeting between Fadnavis, Shinde, and Sunetra Pawar. MVA Crisis Meanwhile, the political turbulence is not restricted to the Mahayuti alliance. The opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi is dealing with its own severe crisis in the Vidarbha region. The Chandrapur-Gadchiroli council seat has triggered frantic political poaching. As many as sixty corporators and Zilla Parishad members from the Congress party reportedly went missing recently. Congress leaders have directly accused BJP legislator Banti Bhangadiya of orchestrating this disappearance. They allege he has shifted the corporators to an undisclosed location to manipulate the voting outcome. The Congress has responded with an aggressive counter-narrative. Senior Congress leader Vijay Wadettiwar made a startling claim that over one hundred BJP corporators are secretly in contact with him. While Wadettiwar strategically hid their exact whereabouts, his statement highlighted a critical vulnerability. He suggested that the BJP is also suffering from severe internal factionalism. Wadettiwar warned that these hidden rifts will ultimately cost the ruling party dearly in the forthcoming elections.

The Dynasty and the Darkness

India’s tryst with authoritarianism during the Emergency remains a lesson in the dangers of dynastic politics and constitutional contempt.

Who likes to dig up the past, especially when it is painful and tragic? Yet there are moments in a nation’s history that demand remembrance, however bitter, so their mistakes are not repeated. The Emergency of 1975, imposed by Indira Gandhi, remains one of India’s gravest political traumas. It was a time when the largest democracy in the world came perilously close to dictatorship and remains a cautionary tale of how unchecked power and dynastic obsession can undermine even the most robust democratic systems.


As India approached the 25th anniversary of its Constitution, it witnessed its brazen dismantling. A national Emergency was declared, and with it, the collapse of democratic institutions. Constitutional mechanisms were hollowed out, civil liberties suspended and the press throttled. Indira Gandhi’s motivation was starkly self-serving. The Allahabad High Court had invalidated her election to Parliament and barred her from holding office for six years. Rather than accept the verdict, she chose to override democracy in a deliberate act of constitutional murder.


Such authoritarian instincts were not a deviation but part of a pattern. The Nehru-Gandhi family, which held sway over Indian politics for over five decades, often treated the Constitution as pliable clay. In its first 60 years, India saw the Constitution amended 75 times, many of these under Congress rule. The tendency to tamper with foundational laws became almost habitual.


Even in the earliest years, democracy took a backseat to dynastic consolidation. Between 1947 and 1952, India had no elected government, just a transitional administration led by Jawaharlal Nehru, whose ascendancy to power was not via a popular mandate but party manoeuvring. The Rajya Sabha, the upper house of Parliament, did not exist until 1952. In 1951, a mere four years after Independence, Nehru pushed through an ordinance to curb freedom of expression and amend the Constitution, ignoring the warnings of President Rajendra Prasad, Acharya Kripalani and Jayaprakash Narayan.


This was not the vision of a guardian of democracy but the mindset of a ruler intent on shaping the nation in his own image. That image was inherited, expanded and deepened by his daughter.


In 1971, when the Supreme Court curbed executive overreach in the Golaknath and Kesavananda Bharati cases, the Congress government responded by altering the Constitution again - this time to strip the judiciary of its powers. Indira Gandhi declared that Parliament was supreme and courts had no say in constitutional amendments. The judiciary’s independence was thus systematically undermined.


Then came 1975. The Emergency was the darkest chapter in India’s post-independence history, not merely for the repression it imposed but for the precedent it set: that constitutional values could be subverted for personal survival.


But the saga did not end with Indira. Her son Rajiv Gandhi continued the trend in 1986 with the Shah Bano case. After the Supreme Court granted maintenance to a Muslim woman, his government nullified the ruling through legislation, a move driven purely by vote-bank calculations and religious appeasement.


Even in the 2000s, constitutional propriety remained optional. Manmohan Singh, during his tenure as Prime Minister, admitted that real power rested not with him, but with party president Sonia Gandhi. A shadow cabinet in the form of the National Advisory Council operated above the elected government as a parallel power centre unaccountable to the people.


The next generation carried the legacy forward. Rahul Gandhi, in a public press conference, tore up an ordinance passed by his own party’s cabinet. His party’s government in Karnataka introduced religion-based reservations despite the Constitution’s framers explicitly rejecting the idea. On the Uniform Civil Code, despite strong advocacy by Dr. B.R. Ambedkar and repeated nudges by the Supreme Court, the Congress continues to oppose it, further eroding the constitutional consensus.


At Independence, Sardar Patel enjoyed the support of 12 of 15 state Congress committees as the preferred Prime Minister. Nehru had none. Yet it was Nehru who took the helm, chosen not by democratic consensus but by the will of Mahatma Gandhi. The pattern of dismissing internal democracy for familial succession was set in stone.


More recently, ahead of the 2024 general election, Rahul Gandhi travelled abroad and called for foreign intervention in India’s democracy, echoing the tone of global actors like George Soros who seek to influence sovereign affairs. If democracy is to be preserved, such appeals must be condemned and their motivations laid bare.


The Emergency is a mirror held up to contemporary politics. As India rises in stature and economic strength, the lessons of that dark period must guide its future. Ramdhari Singh Dinkar’s haunting line -“I am the old sentinel of a world whose path is damp with tears” - resonates still.


Remembering them is the duty of every citizen. Never again.


(The writer is a senior Patna-based journalist and political analyst)

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