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By:

Quaid Najmi

4 January 2025 at 3:26:24 pm

MGL imposes 20 pc gas cut on bakeries

Soon, Mumbai to starve of vada-pav, pav-bhaji Mumbai: The city of dreams fueled by vada-pav and pav-bhaji could soon face a nightmarish food crunch. Amid the ongoing commercial LPG crisis, Mumbai’s piped natural gas (PNG) supplier Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) has imposed a 20pc cut in gas offtake by bakeries, forcing scale down of production of laadi-pav, breads and other bakery staples that feed millions daily, plus an ominous price hike soon. The MGL directive follows a central order (March...

MGL imposes 20 pc gas cut on bakeries

Soon, Mumbai to starve of vada-pav, pav-bhaji Mumbai: The city of dreams fueled by vada-pav and pav-bhaji could soon face a nightmarish food crunch. Amid the ongoing commercial LPG crisis, Mumbai’s piped natural gas (PNG) supplier Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) has imposed a 20pc cut in gas offtake by bakeries, forcing scale down of production of laadi-pav, breads and other bakery staples that feed millions daily, plus an ominous price hike soon. The MGL directive follows a central order (March 9), calling upon all bakeries to restrict their gas consumption to only 80 pc of their average usage over the past six months. The new rule came into effect from March 12, immediately sending alarm bells ringing across Mumbai’s panicky bakery network. In a missive to bakery owners, MGL also indicated that PNG prices would be revised shortly due to “gas pooling” arrangements, with the final rates to be announced after consultations with suppliers and the government. It further warned that any bakery exceeding the new consumption cap could face penal tariffs or even abrupt disconnection of gas supply. For hundreds of bakeries already grappling with a crippling shortage of commercial LPG cylinders, the move served to fuel the prevailing uncertainty. “This could virtually paralyse Mumbai’s food chain, hitting the common masses worst,” warned Khodadad Irani, President of the Indian Bakers Association (IBA). “There are nearly 300 registered bakeries in South Mumbai alone and around 1,000 across the city. Together they produce almost half the city’s daily requirement of around 70 lakh laadi-pavs. More than half of these bakeries depend on LPG to fire their ovens. With LGP supplies disrupted and now PNG curtailed, many may be forced to shut down within days,” a glum Irani told ‘The Perfect Voice.’ He explained the staggering implications of the potential disruption round the corner - on average, each bakery churns out around 1,500 trays (laadis) of pav every day, employs 30-50 workers per unit, and outside the flaming ovens, an entire informal economy thrives on the humble pav. Two Lakh Workers Nearly two lakh delivery workers ferry fresh bread across the city each morning on bicycles and motorcycles, supplying to all from roadside stalls to high-end eateries and corporates. Besides, over six lakh vendors run small stalls selling the city’s beloved yummies - vada-pav, samosa-pav, bhajiya-pav, usal-misal-pav, pav-bhaji, dabelis. “Under such a scenario, if bakeries pause or shut down, there will be huge consequences. Not only will common people suffer, but close to a million livelihoods linked to this ecosystem could be hit,” Irani pointed out. He reminded the authorities how bakeries remained operational during the COVID-19 pandemic, ensuring a steady supply of bread and pav when Mumbai reeled under lockdown. “We kept our ovens running then despite enormous risks, to ensure Mumbai would not go hungry. But now we are facing a dire fuel shortage, and until commercial LPG quotas are normalized, we simply cannot continue operations,” Irani said grimly. With desperation creeping in both among the bakers and their customers, some bakeries have begun buying LPG cylinders on the black market at three to four times the official price, and others are allegedly diverting domestic cylinders to power their industrial ovens. Ironically, the sector had only recently initiated a painful transition to cleaner fuels - following court-mandated environmental directives in 2025 - by scrapping their traditional coal or wood-fired ovens to invest in PNG-LPG-based systems, or electric powered ovens. “Most of us complied with the shift to eco-friendly fuels. But now those very fuels are scarce. If the situation is not resolved quickly, Mumbai could soon wake up to a shocking reality - a city without pav,” Irani predicted. Neighbourhood bakers fret Local bakers say the crisis threatens not only the supply of laadi-pav but a wide range of popular bakery products that have a ready market. They include: sweet bun-pav, tutti-frutti pav, kharis, rusks, crunchy bruns, toasts, puffs, pastries, brownies, cupcakes, nankhatais, cookies, mini-pizzas, unbranded biscuits, et al. “Mumbai is a crowded city. It cannot survive without bakeries running 24x7. Many people eat only one proper meal at home and rely on street foods and snacks outside. Everything depends on steady fuel supply. If bakeries stop, the entire food chain - from corporate canteens to school kitchens and mass caterers - will be doomed,” fumed a contract baker Mohsin Alvi.

Heavy Lies the Box: The Hidden Perils of Misdeclared Cargo

The humble shipping container is being undermined by a toxic mix of deception, negligence and regulatory blind spots.

In 2004, Efthymios Mitropoulos, then Secretary General of the International Maritime Organization (IMO), delivered a chilling truth when he said “ships transport around 90 percent of global goods. Their absence would mean half the world will freeze and the other half will starve.” The figures still hold. According to the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), as of its 2023 review, merchant ships carry about 90 percent of dry, oil and gas cargo by volume, and nearly 75 percent by value.

 

And at the heart of this logistical lifeline lies a steel box - the shipping container, globalization’s unsung hero. Standardized containerization, which took to the high seas in 1966 with the S.S. Fairland, was a quiet revolution. By minimizing manual handling, it slashed cargo damage and pilferage, cutting theft rates nearly in half. In doing so, it fuelled the rise of just-in-time supply chains and supercharged global trade. But a half-century on, that very system is being quietly sabotaged - not by pirates or geopolitical friction, but by unscrupulous shippers and freight forwarders willing to fudge the truth for a discount.

 

A recent study carried out by the authors of this article lays bare the growing menace. Misdeclared container cargo, whether by weight, nature or packaging, has become an Achilles heel in the global logistics chain and is endangering lives, ships, oceans and coastal communities.

 

Let us start with weight. A container declared as 8 metric tonnes but actually weighing 18 can become a lethal liability at sea. Loaded high in a stack, such a container renders a ship ‘tender’ - a maritime term for top-heaviness, thus making it prone to dangerous rolling in rough waters.

 

That increased motion puts stress far beyond design limits on the lashings and structures securing containers. The inevitable result is that containers snap loose and plunge into the ocean. Worse still, the ship itself can lose balance. The MSC Elsa-3, which sank off the west coast of India in May this year is a case in point. Investigations point to stability issues aggravated by weight misdeclaration.

 

Such instances are not outliers. A Lloyd’s Register report lists misdeclared weight and contents as the third leading cause of container ship accidents. In 2012, a Ukrainian customs study over a two-week period found that 56 percent of containers weighed more than declared in their shipping documentation.

 

Chemical Time Bombs

But if under-declared weight is dangerous, misdeclared hazardous cargo can be apocalyptic. Dangerous goods require precise stowage. Exothermic cargo, or goods that emit heat, must never be placed next to flammable liquids. That is basic chemistry. But what is stable in a warehouse can become volatile at sea. Marine conditions can trigger thermal runaway, combustion or explosions. Unlike oil tankers, container ships are not equipped for chemical fires nor are seafarers trained to combat them.

 

The X-Press Pearl, which caught fire and exploded off Colombo in May 2021 with over 70 containers of hazardous cargo, is a tragic reminder. Sri Lanka is now seeking over $1 billion in damages. Other disasters in the past decade read like a litany of negligence: MSC Flaminia (2012), Maersk Honam (2018), ONE Apus (2020), Maersk Essen and MSC Messina (2021), and Grande Brasile and Wan Hai 503 more recently.

 

Fractured Trust

The problem lies in a global system predicated on trust that is now routinely betrayed. As Delhi-based logistics veteran Daya Saran notes, the trust between shipper and receiver is often broken in the race to undercut freight costs. The system allows shippers and freight forwarders to declare container contents and weights themselves. Customs agencies, operating under the Kyoto Convention and the SAFE Framework of the World Customs Organization (WCO), are not mandated or even equipped to verify each shipment. Ship owners, for their part, cannot be expected to police the contents of the millions of boxes their vessels carry.

 

Even the IMO’s 2016 rule requiring a Verified Gross Mass (VGM) declaration has failed to arrest the trend. Compliance is weak, enforcement weaker still. The result is a regulatory Bermuda Triangle in which accountability evaporates.

 

Plugging the Gaps

The authors propose a more robust framework, starting with a simple truth that relying solely on declarations from shippers and freight forwarders is no longer tenable.

 

First, there ought to be an independent, government-approved verification body (similar to ship classification societies) to inspect containers at the stuffing stage. These verifications would become a prerequisite for customs clearance. Since stuffing is the most critical point in a container’s journey, this reform could nip deception at the bud.

 

Second, all shippers and freight forwarders must obtain an IMO number, thus creating a unique global identity for each actor, and tag it to every shipping bill and customs manifest. This would allow for better tracking and accountability across jurisdictions.

 

Training must be overhauled. While the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) already mandates training for shippers handling dangerous goods, the maritime world lacks a parallel requirement. That gap must be closed, making such certification mandatory under marine law. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the consequences of misdeclaration must be made sharper. False declarations should be treated as cognisable offences in all IMO member states. Punishments, both financial and criminal, must be deterrent, not symbolic.

 

As always, the costs of complacency are borne not by the deceitful, but by the dutiful. Ship owners and seafarers pay with their vessels and lives. Coastal states suffer when toxic cargo leaches into the sea. The oceans, already strained by climate change and pollution, are left to absorb yet another man-made assault.


The IMO and the WCO, jointly responsible for shipping safety and global customs standards, must take the lead. A joint resolution mandating global reform of container stuffing and verification is overdue. So too is leadership from national maritime authorities like India’s Directorate General of Shipping, which could table a formal proposal.

 

The steel box transformed global trade. But today, its contents are more uncertain and more dangerous than ever before. If the international community continues to look the other way, it may not be long before another X-Press Pearl or MSC Elsa-3 makes headlines. Only this time, the cost might be far greater.

 

(Capt. Singhal is a shipping and marine consultant and member, Singapore Shipping Association. Capt. Saggi is ex-Nautical Advisor to Government of India)

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