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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Shinde dilutes demand

Likely to be content with Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai Mumbai: In a decisive shift that redraws the power dynamics of Maharashtra’s urban politics, the standoff over the prestigious Mumbai Mayor’s post has ended with a strategic compromise. Following days of resort politics and intense backroom negotiations, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has reportedly diluted its demand for the top job in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), settling instead for the Deputy Mayor’s post. This...

Shinde dilutes demand

Likely to be content with Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai Mumbai: In a decisive shift that redraws the power dynamics of Maharashtra’s urban politics, the standoff over the prestigious Mumbai Mayor’s post has ended with a strategic compromise. Following days of resort politics and intense backroom negotiations, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has reportedly diluted its demand for the top job in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), settling instead for the Deputy Mayor’s post. This development, confirmed by high-ranking party insiders, follows the realization that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) effectively ceded its claims on the Kalyan-Dombivali Municipal Corporation (KDMC) to protect the alliance, facilitating a “Mumbai for BJP, Kalyan for Shinde” power-sharing formula. The compromise marks a complete role reversal between the BJP and the Shiv Sena. Both the political parties were in alliance with each other for over 25 years before 2017 civic polls. Back then the BJP used to get the post of Deputy Mayor while the Shiv Sena always enjoyed the mayor’s position. In 2017 a surging BJP (82 seats) had paused its aggression to support the undivided Shiv Sena (84 seats), preferring to be out of power in the Corporation to keep the saffron alliance intact. Today, the numbers dictate a different reality. In the recently concluded elections BJP emerged as the single largest party in Mumbai with 89 seats, while the Shinde faction secured 29. Although the Shinde faction acted as the “kingmaker”—pushing the alliance past the majority mark of 114—the sheer numerical gap made their claim to the mayor’s post untenable in the long run. KDMC Factor The catalyst for this truce lies 40 kilometers north of Mumbai in Kalyan-Dombivali, a region considered the impregnable fortress of Eknath Shinde and his son, MP Shrikant Shinde. While the BJP performed exceptionally well in KDMC, winning 50 seats compared to the Shinde faction’s 53, the lotter for the reservation of mayor’s post in KDMC turned the tables decisively in favor of Shiv Sena there. In the lottery, the KDMC mayor’ post went to be reserved for the Scheduled Tribe candidate. The BJP doesn’t have any such candidate among elected corporatros in KDMC. This cleared the way for Shiv Sena. Also, the Shiv Sena tied hands with the MNS in the corporation effectively weakening the Shiv Sena (UBT)’s alliance with them. Party insiders suggest that once it became clear the BJP would not pursue the KDMC Mayor’s chair—effectively acknowledging it as Shinde’s fiefdom—he agreed to scale down his demands in the capital. “We have practically no hope of installing a BJP Mayor in Kalyan-Dombivali without shattering the alliance locally,” a Mumbai BJP secretary admitted and added, “Letting the KDMC become Shinde’s home turf is the price for securing the Mumbai Mayor’s bungalow for a BJP corporator for the first time in history.” The formal elections for the Mayoral posts are scheduled for later this month. While the opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi (MVA)—led by the Shiv Sena (UBT)—has vowed to field candidates, the arithmetic heavily favors the ruling alliance. For Eknath Shinde, accepting the Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai is a tactical retreat. It allows him to consolidate his power in the MMR belt (Thane and Kalyan) while remaining a partner in Mumbai’s governance. For the BJP, this is a crowning moment; after playing second fiddle in the BMC for decades, they are poised to finally install their own “First Citizen” of Mumbai.

Sindh and the Strains of Rhetoric: Why Rajnath Singh’s Statement Jolted Pakistan

The Indian Defence Minister’s casual remark on Sindh exposes Pakistan’s deepest fault-lines far more than it wounds India

India and Pakistan do not need tanks to provoke each other when a sentence can admirably perform that function. That salvo was recently delivered by Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh at a public event. Quoting stalwart Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leader L.K. Advani, Singh mused that “borders may change” and that Sindh might one day “return” to India. Pakistan responded with ritualised outrage, condemning what it called “delusional and dangerously revisionist remarks.”


The Sindhis are among the subcontinent’s oldest settled peoples - an Indo-Aryan community shaped by the Indus, sustained by trade, and distinguished by a language, literary tradition and mercantile ethic that long predate the modern nation-state. For centuries, Sindh was a commercial bridge between South Asia, Central Asia and the Arabian Sea. Its ports connected India to the Persian Gulf; its merchants ranged as far as East Africa. Under British rule, Sindh was administered as part of the Bombay Presidency until it was carved out as a separate province in 1936 in an early recognition of its distinct identity.


Partition in 1947 shattered that continuity. More than a million Hindu Sindhis fled almost overnight to India, stripped of land, language and livelihood. Unlike Punjabis and Bengalis, they were not resettled in a linguistically contiguous homeland. Instead, they dispersed across India - into Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan and beyond, forming one of the country’s most economically successful yet culturally uprooted diasporas. Muslim Sindhis, meanwhile, remained in Pakistan, inheriting an undivided province but one soon eclipsed by the political and military dominance of Punjab. What followed was not secession, but a slow corrosion of autonomy.


It is this unresolved history that gives Rajnath Singh’s remark its charge. By hinting, however casually, at Sindh’s future alignment, India’s Defence Minister appeared, deliberately or otherwise, to question Islamabad’s authority over one of its most vital provinces.


Violent protests

The unease in Sindh long predates Singh’s remark. In April and May this year, the province was convulsed by violent protests against a federally backed canal project that threatened to divert water away from the Indus basin - Sindh’s economic and ecological lifeline. Demonstrators blocked highways, halted trains and attacked government convoys. For a province that already feels short-changed in Pakistan’s federal resource bargain, control over water is existential.


The unrest has since broadened. This month alone, Sindh has witnessed successive waves of protest over enforced disappearances widely attributed to the security agencies; over months of unpaid salaries owed to teachers; and most explosively, over a sweeping constitutional amendment rammed through Pakistan’s Senate roughly two weeks ago. The proposed 27th Amendment aims to overhaul both the judicial system and the military command structure. Its critics argue that it weakens civilian oversight while fortifying the position of the army chief, General Asim Munir. Through changes to Article 243 of the constitution, the amendment would effectively shield senior military commanders from criminal prosecution—while further hollowing out provincial authority.


In Sindh, the reaction was immediate and furious. Hundreds poured into the streets, accusing Islamabad of stealing not just their water and revenues, but now their remaining constitutional protections. The province’s restiveness is structural. Sindh has long been riven by ethnic tensions, resource disputes with other provinces, a low-grade separatist current, and persistent human-rights grievances. Even under the British Raj it was regarded as among the most politically volatile regions of western India. Pakistan inherited that volatility, but never truly resolved its causes.


It is against this backdrop of accumulated resentment that Rajnath Singh’s remark acquired its destabilising potency. In most countries, a speculative comment about borders would be dismissed as political noise. In Sindh, it landed as a provocation precisely because the federal compact already appears frayed. More awkwardly for Islamabad, some voices within the province greeted it with approval rather than outrage.


Shafi Burfat, the exiled chairman of the Jeay Sindh Muttahida Mahaz, a separatist organisation, publicly welcomed the Indian Defence Minister’s comment. In a sharply worded statement, he argued that Sindhis were never historically tied to “Arab or Turkic powers” through religion or ideology, but belonged civilisationally to what he termed “Sapt Sindhudesh, India.” He accused the Pakistani state of crushing the Sindhudesh freedom movement through repression, enforced disappearances and extrajudicial killings, and called Pakistan “lethal poison” for the survival of the Sindhi nation. Singh’s remark, he said, offered “a ray of hope.”


Such rhetoric represents a fringe current rather than majority sentiment. Yet its political significance lies precisely in its existence. When a separatist leader can openly frame an Indian defence minister’s statement as validation, it underscores how far Sindh’s relationship with the Pakistani state has deteriorated.


Sindh’s uneasy relationship with the Pakistani state is rooted in the architecture of the colonial exit. Under British rule, Sindh was administered as part of the Bombay Presidency, grouped with present-day Maharashtra and Gujarat - a coastal, commercial world oriented more towards the Arabian Sea than the Punjabi heartland. By the 1920s, a broad-based movement, supported by both Hindu and Muslim elites, emerged to separate Sindh from Bombay on the grounds of cultural and administrative distinctiveness. The campaign succeeded with the Government of India Act of 1935, which granted Sindh its own provincial legislature in 1936.


That legislature would prove decisive a decade later. In 1947 it voted in favour of joining the newly created state of Pakistan. Unlike Punjab and Bengal, the two flashpoints of Partition, Sindh was transferred to Pakistan intact, without a line being drawn through its villages and fields. Yet territorial unity did not prevent social rupture. More than a million Hindu Sindhis fled almost immediately to India, stripping the province of a substantial portion of its commercial middle class and irrevocably altering its demography. For those who remained, the promise of provincial autonomy inside Pakistan soon gave way to rule by a centre increasingly dominated by Punjab.


Fragile nation

From the earliest years, Pakistan evolved less as a balanced federation than as a centralised security state. The army, bureaucracy, intelligence services and much of the corporate economy came to be overwhelmingly Punjabi in composition. Decades later, the imbalance is stark. Sindhis comprise over 14 per cent of Pakistan’s population, yet account for barely 2 per cent of its armed forces and around 5 per cent of the civil services. Karachi generates a large share of national revenue; Sindh exercises only a thin influence over how it is spent.


The same pattern, in even harsher form, defines Balochistan. Comprising four former princely states, one of them initially opted for independence in 1947. Islamabad tolerated that ambiguity briefly. In 1948, Pakistani troops marched in, leaving annexation as a fait accompli. Today Balochistan accounts for roughly 44 per cent of Pakistan’s territory and much of its mineral wealth, yet remains its poorest province, scarred by repeated insurgencies, enforced disappearances and militarised governance.


Pakistan likes to describe itself as a federation. In practice, it has long functioned as a hierarchy, with Punjab at the apex and the peripheries managed through force, patronage and periodic constitutional improvisation. This skewed balance lies behind the periodic tremors in Sindh, the chronic rebellion in Balochistan and the enduring instability of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. It also explains why remarks such as Singh’s, however speculative, carry such destabilising echo.


India’s own post-1947 experience points in a different direction. At Independence, nearly 48 per cent of its territory lay outside the Union in the form of princely states. Their integration was neither peaceful nor automatic. It required diplomacy, coercion, constitutional innovation and, above all, sustained political accommodation. Over subsequent decades, linguistic reorganisation, fiscal federalism and massive investments in connectivity were used to knit diversity into a functioning national framework. Today, that project continues in Kashmir and the north-east through infrastructure, political restructuring and economic integration.


Pakistan chose a narrower path. It built a state designed first for security, then for cohesion. The consequences are now visible in its restive provinces and brittle federal compact. In that sense, the episode over Sindh offers a reminder that building a durable nation is harder than issuing condemnations, and that no amount of outrage abroad can permanently compensate for disaffection at home.

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