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By:

Kaustubh Kale

10 September 2024 at 11:37:15 pm

Modak and the Art of Investing

As the aroma of freshly steamed Modaks fills homes during Ganesh Utsav, the festive spirit comes alive instantly. My mouth is already watering at the thought! The humble Modak, prepared with love to honour Lord Ganesha, may look simple from the outside. But anyone who has tried making one knows that a good Modak depends on several things coming together - the right ingredients, the right recipe, patience with the process, and finally, enjoying the result. Investing is surprisingly similar....

Modak and the Art of Investing

As the aroma of freshly steamed Modaks fills homes during Ganesh Utsav, the festive spirit comes alive instantly. My mouth is already watering at the thought! The humble Modak, prepared with love to honour Lord Ganesha, may look simple from the outside. But anyone who has tried making one knows that a good Modak depends on several things coming together - the right ingredients, the right recipe, patience with the process, and finally, enjoying the result. Investing is surprisingly similar. Choose the Right Ingredients A Modak is only as good as the ingredients that go into it. Fresh coconut, good-quality jaggery, properly prepared rice flour and the right flavours all contribute to the final result. Our investments and financial products are the ingredients of our financial plan. Equities, mutual funds, fixed income, gold and other investments each have a specific role to play. The objective is not to pick whatever appears most exciting at the moment, but to select suitable, good-quality investments that match our financial goals, time horizon and ability to take risks. Health and life insurance are equally important ingredients. Adequate coverage helps protect savings, the family, and their financial goals and dreams. Good ingredients provide the foundation. But ingredients alone are not enough. Get the Recipe Right You may have the finest ingredients in the kitchen, but if the proportions are wrong, the Modak may still not turn out well. The same applies to investing. Asset allocation is the recipe of a financial plan. Too much of one ingredient can spoil a Modak. Similarly, excessive concentration in one asset or too much money in low-return products can spoil a portfolio. Balance is key. A thoughtfully constructed portfolio brings different investments together in the right proportions. To keep asset allocation very simple - short-term goals can be planned through bank fixed deposits, recurring deposits and debt mutual funds. For long-term goals, one can consider hybrid mutual funds, equity mutual funds or direct stocks. Trust the Process Once the Modak is shaped and placed for steaming, constantly checking whether it is ready will not make it cook faster. Investors often make the same mistake. We keep checking markets, reacting to every correction, chasing recent performers or changing strategies because of short-term noise. Good investing requires patience and discipline. Invest regularly, review periodically and allow your financial plan enough time to work. Compounding is powerful precisely because it rewards those who remain invested for long periods. Sometimes, the best thing an investor can do is simply avoid unnecessary interference. Enjoy What You Have Created Finally comes the most important part - eating the Modak! The purpose of investing is not merely to accumulate the largest possible number on a statement. Wealth should eventually help us fulfil our goals, support our families, create financial security and enjoy life with greater peace of mind. A good Modak needs the right ingredients, the right recipe and trust in the process. A good investment journey needs exactly the same. This Ganesh Utsav, may Bappa bless us with the wisdom to make good financial choices, the patience to stay disciplined, and the prosperity to enjoy the fruits of our efforts. Ganpati Bappa Morya! (The author is a Chartered Accountant and CFA (USA). Financial Advisor. Views personal. He could be reached on 9833133605.)

IPO Investment Strategy

Writer: Mangesh Kulkarni
Mangesh Kulkarni
Nov 11, 2024
2 min read

Updated: Nov 12, 2024

IPO Investment Strategy

Investors have amassed significant wealth through investing in Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in India. In 2024, 70 IPOs were launched, with 56 of them delivering positive gains on their initial listing. Among these, Vibhor Steel Tubes, which began accepting subscriptions in February 2024, achieved the highest listing gain at 195 per cent. BLS E-services and Bajaj Housing Finance were the next two IPOs to see substantial gains, with returns of 171 per cent and 135 per cent, respectively. Investors can approach IPOs from two angles: focusing on listing gains or on long-term investment. Let's explore the key factors that contribute to a successful IPO investment strategy.


For Listing Gains

1. Consider the size of the issue. Small IPOs with issues below 2000 crores tend to offer better listing gains.


2. Monitor the Grey Market Premium (GMP). GMP should consistently exceed 30% before the IPO.


3. GMP should either remain stable or increase, and it should not decrease leading up to the IPO's closing date.


4. Even if the goal is to focus on listing gains, it's important to review the company's financials. Financial indicators such as profit growth, Return on Equity, and Price to Earnings ratio are crucial to avoid investing in low-quality IPOs.


5. If the company shows long-term growth potential, it's advisable to hold off on selling shares.


For Long-Term Investment

1. Established companies like LIC, Zomato, Ola Electric, and Hyundai Motors have not met market expectations, often due to the size of their initial offerings. If the issue size exceeds $20 million, it's advisable to consider investing for long-term gains rather than just listing gains.


2. The valuation of the company is critical for long-term wealth creation through IPOs. The company should be profitable, and its price to earnings ratio should be below 25.


3. Occasionally, companies like Zomato, Swiggy, and Ola, which are currently unprofitable, but they have a potential for significant future growth. In such cases, it's important to be mentally prepared for a multi-year period of time correction. It's possible that returns may not be realized until the company becomes profitable.


4. Shares in this category are susceptible to significant price drops, potentially by 50 per cent to 70 per cent from their initial offering price. However, it's beneficial to buy these shares during these price drops. For instance, Zomato, listed at 116 rupees in July 2021, fell to 41 rupees by July 2022. Following this decline, the stock began to rise, currently trading at 248 rupees.


5. If a company is fundamentally strong but its valuation is high, it may consolidate over several years, requiring patience. An example is CDSL, which was listed in 2017, didn't deliver any returns for the next three years. However, from 2020 to 2024, the stock appreciated by over 10 times.


(The author has spoken to experts in the field for writing this piece.)

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