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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Poriborton!

BJP candidate for Bhabanipur and Nandigram constituencies Suvendu Adhikari, who defeated West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee in the prestigious Bhabanipur seat, shows a certificate of election on Monday. Pic: PTI Mumbai: The Bengali word “Poriborton” translates to profound change. While it was initially fiercely utilized as the central battle cry for the assembly elections in West Bengal, the final tally from all five state elections reveals that the spirit of the word has swept across...

Poriborton!

BJP candidate for Bhabanipur and Nandigram constituencies Suvendu Adhikari, who defeated West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee in the prestigious Bhabanipur seat, shows a certificate of election on Monday. Pic: PTI Mumbai: The Bengali word “Poriborton” translates to profound change. While it was initially fiercely utilized as the central battle cry for the assembly elections in West Bengal, the final tally from all five state elections reveals that the spirit of the word has swept across the entire nation. The recent electoral outcomes have fundamentally rewritten the established rules of Indian democracy. From a massive anti-incumbency wave overturning fifteen years of rule in Bengal, to a political novice shattering a six-decade Dravidian stronghold in Tamil Nadu, and the Congress-led alliance successfully dislodging the incumbent Left in Kerala, the electorate has delivered a highly decisive mandate. Alongside sweeping consolidations of power in Assam and Puducherry, these results collectively disrupt historical traditions and reshape the national political landscape for years to come. Titan Toppled In West Bengal, the call for Poribartan finally resonated with enough force to bring down a formidable political fortress. A relentless anti-incumbency wave has overturned Mamata Banerjee’s fifteen-year rule. For a decade and a half, the Trinamool Congress maintained an iron grip on the state’s narrative, having previously ousted the Left Front on the very same promise of sweeping change. The defeat of the incumbent government signifies a monumental shift in the political psychology of Bengal. The electorate, driven by an urgent desire for a new direction, has dismantled a deeply entrenched political machine. This result forces a complete recalibration of power dynamics in eastern India, leaving a massive political vacuum that victorious forces will now rush to fill, fundamentally altering the governance trajectory of the state. Duopoly Shattered Equally seismic is the political earthquake that has struck Tamil Nadu. For six decades, the state’s political arena was fiercely guarded by a seemingly unbreakable Dravidian duopoly, with power alternating predictably between established giants. However, the emergence of the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam, led by cinema icon Thalapathy Vijay, has dismantled this historical dominance. By emerging as the single-largest party in the assembly count, the TVK has achieved what generations of politicians deemed impossible. This is not merely a change in government but a profound cultural and political revolution. The voters of Tamil Nadu have overwhelmingly opted for a fresh narrative, proving that star power coupled with an untested political promise can still upend deeply rooted ideological empires, ushering in an entirely new era of leadership. Absolute Dominance Meanwhile, the political landscape in the Northeast has witnessed a different kind of decisive mandate. In Assam, Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has not only retained power but has emerged significantly stronger, securing a third consecutive term. This victory effectively cements an aggressive regional hegemony and signals the near-total ouster of the Congress party from Assam’s mainstream politics. The result brings an ironclad continuity to the state, allowing the incumbent administration to push forward its agenda without any formidable legislative friction, while leaving the state’s oldest party desperately searching for political relevance. Pendulum Swings In Kerala, the electorate has delivered a decisive blow to the incumbent Left Democratic Front. The Congress-led United Democratic Front has successfully dislodged the government, claiming a vital victory in a state renowned for its fiercely contested, oscillating elections. This resurgence of the UDF injects critical new life into the state’s Congress machinery, drastically altering the governance model in Kerala. The outcome firmly proves that the traditional pendulum of Kerala politics still possesses the momentum to swing back fiercely against the incumbent, denying the Left a continued and uninterrupted grip on power. Comfortable Continuity Further down the coast in Puducherry, the mandate favored stability within a rapidly changing national map. The National Democratic Alliance government, led by the AINRC, comfortably secured its return to power. This victory ensures that the NDA maintains a crucial administrative foothold in the southern union territory, providing a steady anchor for its regional allies amid the broader national churn. When viewed collectively, these independent state results weave a complex tapestry that will inevitably reshape national politics. The fall of towering regional satraps in West Bengal and the disruption of the historic Dravidian stronghold in Tamil Nadu indicate a national electorate that is deeply restless and entirely unafraid to discard legacy systems. For the national opposition, the revival in Kerala offers a much-needed glimmer of hope, though it is heavily overshadowed by the existential crisis they face in Assam. The spectacular rise of new regional entities introduces a fresh, highly unpredictable variable into the national coalition arithmetic ahead of future general elections. Ultimately, the political center of gravity has fundamentally shifted, proving that “Poribartan” is no longer just a localized slogan, but the defining new reality of the country.

The Boycott Crescendo

Updated: Mar 17, 2025


Crescendo
Donald Trump

Donald Trump’s tariff wars were always bound to trigger a fierce response. The U.S. president, doubling down on his protectionist instincts, has slapped levies on Canada, Mexico, China and his European allies. However, rather than reviving American manufacturing, his measures have provoked a global backlash, igniting widespread calls to boycott American goods and damaging the very industries he claims to protect. From Canadian liquor shelves to European car markets, the fallout from Trump’s tariffs is unmistakable.


Tariff wars have long been a recurring feature of global economic disputes, often with disastrous results. In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, introduced by the United States in an attempt to shield domestic industries, triggered retaliatory tariffs from Europe and deepened the Great Depression.

Throughout history, trade wars have rarely ended well for those who instigate them. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, one of the most infamous protectionist measures, was meant to shield American farmers from foreign competition but instead provoked widespread retaliation. Countries including Canada, the UK, and Germany imposed their own countermeasures, causing US exports to collapse by 61 percent and deepening the Great Depression.


World trade fell by two-thirds, and the economic isolationism that followed is widely believed to have stoked the nationalist fervour that led to World War II.

Three decades later, an unlikely trade spat erupted over poultry. The so-called Chicken War of 1963 began when the European Economic Community (EEC) imposed tariffs on US chicken imports. Washington retaliated with a 25 percent levy on European light trucks, a policy that remains in place to this day. The protectionist measure helped cement the dominance of American automakers in the pickup truck market, but it also deepened transatlantic tensions over trade policy.


During the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan took an aggressive stance against Japan, which had emerged as a dominant force in automobiles, steel, and semiconductors. Reagan’s administration imposed voluntary export restraints (VERs) on Japanese cars, a move that backfired when Toyota, Honda, and Nissan responded by building manufacturing plants in the United States, ensuring their long-term foothold in the American market. The administration also accused Japan of dumping semiconductors, leading to punitive tariffs that heightened tensions between Washington and Tokyo. The echoes of these disputes can still be seen today in the US-China trade war, with similar accusations of intellectual property theft and unfair trade practices.


One of the longest-running trade disputes in history, the US-EU banana war, lasted from 1993 to 2009. The European Union had granted preferential trade terms to banana producers from its former colonies in Africa and the Caribbean, disadvantaging American-owned companies like Chiquita and Dole, which sourced their fruit from Latin America. Washington retaliated with tariffs on European luxury goods, from French handbags to Scottish cashmere, escalating a minor agricultural dispute into a transatlantic economic standoff. Though eventually resolved, the episode underscored how trade battles can spiral into broader economic conflicts, often harming unrelated industries in the process.


In 2002, President George W. Bush imposed steel tariffs, only to be met with European Union (EU) duties on American goods, prompting an economic standoff that forced the Bush administration to retreat.


During his first term, Trump’s administration had slapped tariffs on over $360 billion worth of Chinese goods, ostensibly to punish Beijing for intellectual property theft and forced technology transfers. China responded in kind, targeting key American sectors such as agriculture and automobiles. More significantly, the trade war accelerated China’s push for technological self-sufficiency, reducing its reliance on US firms and deepening the geopolitical rift between the two superpowers.


If history is any guide, Trump’s latest round of tariffs will follow the same trajectory. Protectionism, far from making America great again, has historically led to economic contraction, job losses and diplomatic rifts. The backlash now emerging in the form of boycotts and retaliatory measures suggests that America’s allies and rivals alike have little intention of accepting Trump’s trade war without a fight.

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