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Correspondent

23 August 2024 at 4:29:04 pm

Fractured Fortress

Jan Suraaj chief Prashant Kishor’s emphatic victory in the Bankipur by-poll, that ended three decades of uninterrupted BJP dominance, is a classic instance when even the safest urban strongholds of a comfortably ensconced ruling party are no longer immune to local discontent and shifting social coalitions. That said, the parallels between Bankipur and the 2023 Kasba Peth bypoll are too striking to dismiss as isolated by-election quirks. In the latter case, the BJP had similarly conceded a...

Fractured Fortress

Jan Suraaj chief Prashant Kishor’s emphatic victory in the Bankipur by-poll, that ended three decades of uninterrupted BJP dominance, is a classic instance when even the safest urban strongholds of a comfortably ensconced ruling party are no longer immune to local discontent and shifting social coalitions. That said, the parallels between Bankipur and the 2023 Kasba Peth bypoll are too striking to dismiss as isolated by-election quirks. In the latter case, the BJP had similarly conceded a seemingly surefire seat that had remained in its grasp since 1995. Both defeats followed the departure of long-serving legislators. Both occurred in constituencies where the BJP began as the overwhelming favourite. By-elections are notoriously unreliable predictors of general elections as their turnout is generally lower, and local grievances loom larger while voters often feel freer to register dissatisfaction without changing governments. Yet they remain valuable political barometers because they reveal the health of party organisations beneath the sheen of national leadership. Bankipur is especially significant because like Kasba Peth in Pune, it represented the party’s urban, upper-caste heartland in Bihar. Prashant Kishor’s victory, therefore, carries symbolism beyond its numerical margin. Making his electoral debut, he converted what had long been considered an impregnable BJP constituency into the Jan Suraaj Party’s most consequential victory. The explanation lies less in ideological realignment than in coalition management. The BJP has, in recent years, sought to broaden its social base by expanding its appeal among the lower caste, economically disadvantaged caste groups. That strategy has served it well nationally, particularly in states where expanding beyond traditional support was essential for electoral growth. Yet every expansion creates new anxieties among an established base. Just as in the Kasba bypoll, the Bankipur result suggests that sections of upper-caste voters, long regarded as among the BJP’s most dependable supporters, felt increasingly alienated. Their perception was that the BJP’s electoral calculations had shifted decisively towards cultivating newer caste constituencies. Kasba Peth offered an earlier version of the same lesson. The BJP entered the contest expecting organisational strength and historical advantage to outweigh local dissatisfaction. Instead, the opposition successfully transformed the by-election into a referendum on complacency, exploiting organisational fatigue and local resentment. Bankipur appears to follow a similar script. Candidate selection became contentious, local anti-incumbency lingered beneath the surface, and the opposition presented itself as the vehicle for voters seeking to send a message rather than engineer a regime change. While this, in no way, implies an imminent collapse of the BJP’s broader electoral dominance, dominant parties ignore by-election warnings at their peril. Safe seats are valuable not because they guarantee victories, but because they reveal the strength of a party’s deepest political relationships.

US Vice President JD Vance, his family arrive in Delhi

  • PTI
  • Apr 21, 2025
  • 2 min read


NEW DELHI: US Vice President J D Vance arrived here on Monday on a four-day visit to India against the backdrop of ongoing negotiations for a bilateral trade agreement between the two strategic partners to address a variety of issues, including tariff and market access.


Vance is accompanied by his Indian-origin wife Usha Chilukuri and their three children Ewan, Vivek, Mirabel and a delegation of senior US government officials.


The US Vice President and the Second Lady were received at the Palam air base by Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw.


The American leader was also accorded a ceremonial welcome on his arrival.

In the evening, Prime Minister Narendra Modi will host a dinner for the Vances after holding wide-ranging talks with the US Vice President.


External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar, NSA Ajit Doval, Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and Indian ambassador to US Vinay Mohan Kwatra are expected to be part of the Indian team to be led by PM Modi at the talks.


The focus of the meeting is likely to be on early finalisation of the proposed bilateral trade pact as well as ways to boost overall trajectory of ties between the two countries.


Besides Delhi, Vance and his family will travel to Jaipur and Agra.

Vance's first visit to India comes weeks after US President Donald Trump imposed and then paused a sweeping tariff regime against around 60 countries, including India.


New Delhi and Washington are now holding negotiations to seal a bilateral trade agreement that is expected to address a variety of issues, including tariff and market access.


Vance and his family are scheduled to leave for Jaipur on Monday night.

In Delhi, the US Vice President and his family are staying at the ITC Maurya Sheraton hotel.


On April 22, the Vances will visit a number of historical sites in Jaipur, including the Amer Fort, also known as Amber Fort. The fort is a UNESCO world heritage site.


In the afternoon, the US Vice President is scheduled to address a gathering at the Rajasthan International Centre in Jaipur.


Vance is expected to delved into broader aspects of India-US relations under the Donald Trump administration during his speech that is expected to be attended by diplomats, foreign policy experts, Indian government officials and academia.


The US Vice President and his family will travel to Agra on the morning of April 23, people familiar with the matter said.


In Agra, they will visit the Taj Mahal and Shilpgram which is an open air emporium showcasing various Indian artefacts, they said.


After concluding their visit to Agra, the Vances will return to Jaipur on the second half of April 23.


The US Vice President and his family will depart for the US from Jaipur on April 24, according to the people cited above.

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