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By:

Amey Chitale

28 October 2024 at 5:29:02 am

Growth Without Fireworks

The Budget leans on tourism, technology, trade calibration and fiscal discipline to anchor growth amid global uncertainty Mumbai: The new budget positions tourism as a key driver of jobs, forex earnings, and local growth. Incentives will back indigenous seaplane manufacturing through a Seaplane VGF Scheme, while a new National Institute of Hospitality will strengthen academia-industry-government linkages. A pilot programme will upskill 10,000 guides at 20 iconic sites with IIM collaboration,...

Growth Without Fireworks

The Budget leans on tourism, technology, trade calibration and fiscal discipline to anchor growth amid global uncertainty Mumbai: The new budget positions tourism as a key driver of jobs, forex earnings, and local growth. Incentives will back indigenous seaplane manufacturing through a Seaplane VGF Scheme, while a new National Institute of Hospitality will strengthen academia-industry-government linkages. A pilot programme will upskill 10,000 guides at 20 iconic sites with IIM collaboration, and a National Destination Digital Knowledge Grid will document cultural and heritage sites. Heritage tourism will be enhanced with experiential upgrades at 15 archaeological sites, and new projects will expand the Buddhist circuit in the northeast. Seven High-Speed Rail corridors will serve as sustainable ‘growth connectors,’ boosting mobility and linking emerging hubs. Software services, IT-enabled services, KPO, and contract R&D are consolidated under ‘Information Technology Services’ with a uniform safe harbour margin of 15.5 percent. The safe harbour threshold rises from Rs. 300 crore to Rs. 2,000 crore, easing compliance for mid-sized firms. To spur investment in critical infrastructure, a tax holiday until 2047 is offered to foreign companies delivering global cloud services via Indian data centres, provided domestic customers are served through Indian resellers. This landmark measure positions modern data centres as central pillars of India’s digital economy and future growth. Key Reforms Income tax rates remain steady but introduces key compliance reforms. TCS on foreign travel and education is reduced to 2 percent, and TDS rules for manpower services have been simplified. Taxpayers can now file Form 15G/15H directly through depositories, easing coordination. Penalty provisions are de-criminalised, with many shifted to late fees. While broader capital gains rationalisation was anticipated, relief comes through treating buyback proceeds as capital gains, lowering the tax burden for recipients. Trade-friendly customs duty reforms find place instead changes rather than sweeping reforms. The duty-free import limit for seafood export inputs rises from 1 percent to 3 percent of turnover, with similar relief extended to shoe uppers. Exporters of leather, textiles, and footwear gain flexibility as the export period is extended to one year. To encourage domestic value addition in consumer electronics, specified parts for microwave oven manufacturing are now exempted. The recommendations of 16th Finance Commission have been accepted by the centre which recommended 41 percent devolution. Budget 2026 reaffirms the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation while safeguarding social priorities. The debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to decline from 56.1 percent in 2025–26 to 55.6 percent in 2026–27, freeing resources for priority spending by lowering interest outgo. The fiscal deficit target has been met at 4.4 percent of GDP in 2025–26 and is estimated to further ease to 4.3 percent in 2026–27, in line with the path toward a 50±1 percent debt-to-GDP ratio by 2030–31. Revised estimates for 2025–26 place non-debt receipts at Rs. 34 trillion and expenditure at Rs. 49.6 trillion, including Rs. 11 trillion in capital outlay. For 2026–27, receipts are projected at Rs. 36.5 trillion and expenditure at Rs. 53.5 trillion, with net tax receipts of Rs. 28.7 trillion. The government is banking on higher RBI dividends and higher disinvestment receipts. Fiscal deficit financing will hinge on Rs. 11.7 trillion in net market borrowings, supplemented by small savings and other sources, with gross borrowings at Rs. 17 trillion. Successful execution will decide if the budget’s ambitions become reality. This year’s strategy favours actions over numbers, consolidating and reinforcing the ecosystem instead of chasing headline reforms. Amid geopolitical tensions and market volatility, it prioritises stability and durable growth over quick wins - less a Sehwag-style first-ball six, more a Rahul Dravid innings: deliberate, resilient, and built for the long haul.

What AI Breaks First Inside Real Operations

Teams don’t resist AI out of fear. They resist confusion.

Last week’s column made one thing clear: AI is not a cure. It’s a diagnostic. On paper, most leaders nodded along.  Of course systems matter. Of course tools amplify gaps. But this week, let’s leave ideas aside and step into the shopfloor, the back office, the ops WhatsApp groups, the Excel sheets that are “almost correct”, and the people who are quietly trying to make AI work inside real businesses.


Because when AI enters day-to-day operations, it doesn’t break everything at once. It breaks very specific things first. And those breakpoints tell you exactly where your operating system is weak.


Where AI actually fails 

In theory, AI adoption looks clean. In practice, it lands inside a business that already has workarounds, shortcuts, and informal rules.


Most AI initiatives don’t fail because the tool is bad. They fail because the business asks AI to operate inside undefined work.

Here’s what that looks like on the ground.


Where SOPs don’t exist

In many SMEs, SOPs are assumed, not written. People say: “Everyone knows how this works.” “It’s obvious.” “We’ve always done it this way.”


Until AI asks a simple question: “What exactly is the process?” Take something basic like order processing. One person checks stock before confirming.


Another confirms first and “manages” stock later. A third relies on experience and intuition.


When AI is introduced … whether for drafting confirmations, updating customers, or tracking orders… it needs a single version of the process.


Without it, AI outputs start contradicting reality. The result?


Sales thinks AI is wrong. Ops thinks AI is unreliable. Founders step back in.


The real issue wasn’t AI accuracy. It was that there was never one agreed way of doing the work. AI doesn’t tolerate fuzzy processes. Humans quietly adapt. That’s the difference.


Humans are remarkably good at working with incomplete information. If a form is half-filled, someone calls. If data doesn’t match, someone checks WhatsApp.


If details are missing, someone guesses and fixes it later. AI doesn’t do that. It takes inputs literally. So when AI is used for: drafting proposals, responding to customers, creating reports, prioritising tasks it surfaces a brutal truth: your inputs were never clean to begin with.


Customer names vary. Prices are updated “sometimes”. Delivery timelines live in people’s heads. AI doesn’t fix this. It exposes it.


Teams then label AI as “not practical”, when the real problem is that the business has survived for years on informal correction loops that AI cannot see.


Broken handoffs 

Every business has handoffs: Sales → Ops; Ops → Accounts; Accounts → Dispatch; Support → Resolution


On paper, these handoffs exist. In reality, they’re fragile. Information leaks. Ownership blurs. Assumptions creep in. Humans compensate with reminders and follow-ups. AI cannot.


When AI is used to automate updates or coordination, these handoff gaps become painfully visible.


Customers receive confident updates that Ops can’t fulfil. Invoices don’t match what was promised. Support replies don’t align with actual resolution status.


Teams then say, “AI created the problem”.


It didn’t. AI just removed the human glue that was holding a broken handoff together.


Why Teams Resist AI

Founders often assume resistance comes from fear: fear of replacement, fear of technology, fear of change.


That’s rarely true in SMEs. What teams actually feel is confusion.


They don’t know: what the “correct” process is, which input matters most, who will be held accountable if AI output is wrong, whether following AI will get them into trouble later


So they hedge. They double-check. They bypass. They keep doing things “the old way” on the side. Not because they’re anti-AI. But because the system doesn’t protect them yet.


Until roles, inputs, and handoffs are clarified, AI feels risky to the people closest to execution.


A Quiet Pattern 

In businesses where AI does stick, something very unglamorous happens first.


Before AI: one workflow is written down, inputs are defined, ownership is clarified, review points are fixed


Only then is AI introduced… not everywhere, but in one controlled slice of work.


The team isn’t asked to “trust AI”. They’re shown how AI fits into a system that already makes sense. That’s when resistance fades.


Not because AI is impressive. But because confusion is removed.


What Leaders Should Fix 

If AI feels messy inside your operations, don’t start by asking: “Is this the right tool?”


Start by asking: Do we have one clear SOP for this work? Are inputs defined, or assumed? Is ownership explicit at handoffs? Does the team know what happens when AI is wrong?


These are operational questions, not technology ones. And they’re solvable without buying anything new.


The Uncomfortable Truth

AI is not breaking your operations. It’s showing you where operations were already breaking quietly, informally, and expensively.


Humans patched the gaps with effort. AI removes the patch and shows the crack.


That’s not a failure. That’s a signal.


Next week, we’ll talk about what leaders must redesign before scaling AI across teams so that intelligence actually creates momentum instead of confusion. Because in real operations, clarity always comes before speed.


(Rashmi Kulkarni is the CEO at PPS Consulting. She can be reached at rashmi@ppsconsulting.biz. Views personal.)

 

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