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By:

Prasad Dixit

11 October 2024 at 1:09:23 am

The Human Advantage in an Artificial Age

As artificial intelligence grows smarter and more efficient, the real battle may not be about machines surpassing humanity but about whether humans squander the qualities that still set them apart. With the recent news of a Chinese robot beating the human record in a half- marathon, there is renewed debate on how AI could outsmart human beings. Many experts see it as yet another proof of impending disaster as AI takes over most of the jobs in the years to come. This is not the first time when...

The Human Advantage in an Artificial Age

As artificial intelligence grows smarter and more efficient, the real battle may not be about machines surpassing humanity but about whether humans squander the qualities that still set them apart. With the recent news of a Chinese robot beating the human record in a half- marathon, there is renewed debate on how AI could outsmart human beings. Many experts see it as yet another proof of impending disaster as AI takes over most of the jobs in the years to come. This is not the first time when human civilization is facing a technological revolution that has the potential to impact society and economy in a profound manner. There is, however, a crucial difference with AI driven revolution that is often missed out. The first industrial revolution happened because steam engines were invented and it led to mechanization of production. It was followed by discovery of electrical energy and technologies to harness it for mass production. Next wave of evolution was led by computerization and automation in practically all the fields covering both offices and industrial shop floors through mainframes, personal computers, and programmable logic controllers. While all these leaps in technologies are very different in terms of the specific underlying inventions, they all have one thing in common. They were all invented to do things that were humanly impossible to do. One steam engine or electric motor could do the work that perhaps hundreds of humans would never be able to accomplish even with their collective muscle power. Automation of the manufacturing assembly line would deliver speed and accuracy that human beings would never be able to achieve. Beyond Human Technological advances in Telecommunication, for that matter, have simply expanded the range of 'hearing' and 'seeing' far beyond what human vocal chords, ears, and eyes could manage to do on their own. Computers, at its core, are essentially doing the math and calculations at a speed and accuracy that the human brain can never achieve. To add to that, machines using all these innovations in technology would work tirelessly without any fatigue for a duration that human beings would never be able to match. Although AI is yet another highly potent technological innovation, it is not as straightforward as the previous ones. It can absorb and synthesize huge amounts of data that the human brain perhaps cannot do. Ability of AI to answer any question reasonably well using all the global knowledge made available to it, summarize enormous amount of data and text quickly, quickly draw a complex picture based on instructions given verbally, predict a trend, recognize and highlight a specific face in a fraction of a second from millions of faces, write code based on simple English instructions, are all examples where the speed and accuracy of underlying computation is delivering what human being cannot match. However, there are several areas where human beings are trying to improve AI so that it can, some day, match or exceed capability that human beings themselves already have. Examples of this include the ability of AI to completely replace a human driver safely in all situations, understand full context or an intent behind a statement, carry out complex and well-coordinated mechanical activity in response to various unpredictable situations, react appropriately by correctly assessing the emotions at play, integrate generated code appropriately in the existing larger systems landscape, and so on. In such cases, AI is not exhibiting any capability that is humanly impossible to match. On the contrary, AI is trying to catch up with what humans can do easily. In other words, in these areas, AI is trying to become what humans already are. This very aspect separates AI driven technology revolution from all the previous ones. Direct Competition It is often said that AI and humans will co-exist in the future, and people will need to change their ways of working. It is obvious that AI is also going to directly compete with humans in many sectors. Equipment with an embedded chip on-board do compete with humans even today. A case in point is household equipment such as ‘intelligent’ washing machines and dish-washers where robots to do vacuum cleaning and floor mopping do compete with humans offering these services. A human household help can perform these activities far better than what a machine can do. However, given an affordable choice, an increasing number of households prefer machines over human maid services for a reason. Human household help may not always be punctual, sincere, honest, and reliable. But machines are. Uncontrolled emotions, anger, frustration, laziness, indiscipline, absenteeism do affect humans - but not AI driven machines (at least till the time AI itself acquires emotions of its own, and becomes self-aware some day). This aspect of comparison between AI and humans is likely to become far more prominent and consequential as AI driven machines and robots become more and more intelligent and thereby start competing far more effectively with human capability in many spheres. Competition is said to bring about improvement. Just as AI improves itself through continuous learning to mimic human behaviour and actions, human workforce also needs to improve itself by avoiding behavioural issues and inefficiencies referred to above. Otherwise, humans would lose the natural advantage that they still enjoy over AI, and which is likely to continue even in the foreseeable future. Employers or consumers in the labour-intensive service sector will accept AI driven machines and robots with all its known limitations if it turns out to be a better net-net deal in comparison to services offered by humans. This specific aspect has tremendous significance for India. Many Countries from the developed world do not have a young population with reasonably good IQ in required numbers. India, on the other hand, has it in abundance. One could compare it with abundant availability of Thorium or Sunlight in India as compared to the Western world. Consequently, unlike many Countries in the world that have a Uranium centric approach towards nuclear energy, India's approach needs to be centered around Thorium. India's strategy related to renewable, non-conventional, green energy needs to be based on solar power. Indian Context Strategies for adopting AI in the Indian context need to be similarly tailored for the Indian context. India needs to adopt AI in the areas where it clearly has an advantage over humans in terms of speed, throughput, ease of use, accuracy, and efficiency. However, the use of AI needs to be judiciously controlled in areas where AI is trying to catch up with the capabilities of the human mind and body. Several labour-intensive services such as drivers, caregivers for the elderly people, parcel delivery, security guards, maintenance and repair of various equipment, are all examples in that category. Educational policies and overall work culture in the Country needs to appreciate this reality. Just as AI experts are trying hard to 'teach' AI algorithms and improve them through supervised learning, another set of experts need to sensitize and teach humans on how to understand, appreciate, preserve, and further hone the significant natural advantage that they already have over AI. Despite all the technological breakthroughs in AI, in many areas, still, it is a battle that humans will lose only if they choose to. (The writer works in the Information Technology sector. Views personal.)

Yemen’s Houthis: The New Player in Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’

Updated: Oct 22, 2024

Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’

As Israel was rallying from the shock attack by the Palestinian militant group Hamas on October 7 last year and fending off guided rockets hurled by the Lebanese Shia terror group Hezbollah on October 8, a third player – Yemen’s Houthi rebels backed by Iran – entered the arena against the Jewish state.

The Houthi group, officially known as Ansar Allah, kicked-off the so-called ‘Red Sea crisis’ on October 19, 2023 when it launched missiles and armed drones at Israel, demanding an end to the invasion of the Gaza Strip.

Israel has few, if any, direct links to Yemen. The two nations share no borders, and prior to the Houthis’ rise, Yemen was a distant concern for Israeli policymakers.

So, what made the Houthi rebels declare war on Israel?

As Middle Eastern expert on the Houthi movement, Allison Minor, noted in a January 2024 Brookings Institution interview, the Houthis are aiming to reinforce a foundational aspect of their ideology, which includes a vehement call for “death to America and Israel” while looking to project themselves as a significant regional power.

Yemenis today are facing unprecedented oppression and a deteriorating economy, and the Houthis are framing their actions against Isarel as a defense against foreign aggression.

After initial attempts to strike Israel directly fell short, the Houthis turned their focus to maritime attacks. They quickly expanded their targets from Israeli ships to include vessels headed to Israel, those with minimal Israeli connections, and even those entirely unrelated to the country.

This strategy serves a dual purpose: it not only generates headlines that elevate their profile but also allows the Houthis to assert their strength and expand their capabilities in an increasingly complex regional landscape.


When and how did this outfit emerge to destabilize Yemen?

The Houthis emerged from the rugged highlands of northern Yemen in the early 1990s, originally as a small, local Zaydi Shia revivalist group. Named after their founder, Hussein Badreddin al-Houthi, they initially sought to resist Saudi Arabia’s growing influence in Yemen, which was spreading Wahhabi-Salafi ideology into the traditionally moderate Zaydi region. At its core, the movement was driven by socio-religious grievances and regional marginalisation, rather than aspirations for broader geopolitical ambitions.

However, as the group became embroiled in Yemen’s internecine conflicts, it began adopting a more stridently anti-Western and anti-Israel posture, aligning itself ideologically with Iran and Hezbollah.

Twenty years ago, the Yemeni government led by former President Ali Abdullah Saleh launched military campaigns against the Houthis to counter their rising popularity. Instead of being quelled, the Houthis emerged as a resilient fighting force during this tumultuous period.

After widespread protests led to Saleh’s ousting in 2011, the Houthis adeptly adapted, participating in the protests and the subsequent transition. In a surprising twist in 2015, Saleh sought to reclaim power by aligning with the Houthis, but this alliance proved disastrous when they killed him in 2017.

Leveraging Saleh’s extensive resources and network, the Houthis swiftly expanded their control across northern Yemen. They captured the capital, Sanaa, in September 2014, overthrowing the transitional government in the process.

Despite a Saudi-led coalition’s intervention in 2015, which drove the Houthis out of southern Yemen, the group has maintained significant control over northern territories. With Iranian military backing, the Houthis have enhanced their aerial warfare capabilities and consolidated their oppressive regime over the region.

While often viewed as Iranian proxies, the Houthis operate more as partners, asserting their independence in crucial moments when their interests diverge from Tehran's. Their relationship with Iran intensified after the Houthis began posing a threat to Saudi Arabia. Although the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has gained influence in Yemen, it does not dictate Houthi actions, as the group’s resistance to foreign intervention drives their desire for self-sufficiency.

Rooted in a unique interpretation of Zaydi Shiite Islam, the Houthis diverge from traditional Iranian beliefs. While they have begun adopting some practices common to Twelver Islam, such as the observance of Ashura, many Zaydi tenets are more akin to Sunni beliefs, particularly those of Yemen’s Shafi’i school. Nonetheless, they reportedly benefit from the expertise of Iranian proxies, including Hezbollah, and have even sought to fundraise for the group, indicating a growing relationship between the Houthis and these external actors.

Houthi officials have stated that their attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden are a direct response to Israel's military campaign in Gaza. Their motivations for engaging in this conflict are multifaceted.

As anthropologist Marieke Brandt explains in her exemplary study ‘Tribes and Politics in Yemen: A History of the Houthi Conflict’ (2017), the civil war in Yemen during the 1960s significantly altered the Saʿdah region, diminishing the power of the former elite, the sādah, while enhancing that of tribal shaykhs. This shift restructured tribal dynamics, paving the way for new influential actors in the Houthi conflict. Empowered by republican patronage, the emerging tribal elite became vulnerable to co-optation, allowing the Yemeni republic to advance its agenda with minimal state-building. Consequently, this incomplete governance, coupled with economic patronage, fostered imbalances and alienated ordinary tribespeople from their wealthy leaders.

Saudi Arabia’s border politics further complicated Saʿdah's tribal and economic landscape, rooted in historical patronage following the 1934 Saudi-Yemeni War. Recent efforts to strengthen borders have strained local tribal loyalty, intensifying tensions with the Houthis.

In recent decades, Yemen’s radicalization reflects a failure of the ‘Traditionist Project,’ aimed at reconciling Sunni and Zaydi-Shia differences. The rise of radical Sunnism provoked Zaydi resistance, driven by cleric Ḥusayn Badr al-Dīn al-Ḥūthī, who galvanized support for the marginalized Zaydi community. This context elucidates the Houthi movement’s dynamics, which led to the expulsion of many shaykhs and a transformation in tribal leadership post-2011.

For Iran, supporting the Houthis against Israel serves multiple purposes. It allows Tehran to open another front against Israel in its broader regional power struggle without direct involvement. Much like Hezbollah in Lebanon and various militias in Syria, the Houthis provide Iran with an asymmetrical tool to pressure Israel and its allies. This also fits within Iran’s strategy of using its proxies to challenge American and Saudi influence across the region.

Ever since the Houthis threatened the Red Sea, a decisive response in form of targeted strikes in Yemen was mounted in February this year by the United States and the United Kingdom, along with allies including Australia, Bahrain, Canada, Denmark, the Netherlands, and New Zealand.

The military actions across Houthi-controlled territories had targeted the rebels’ underground weapons storage facilities and missile storage sites among other capabilities. Yet, it failed to deter them.

Just last week, the Houthis conducted drone strikes in Israel’s Tel Aviv in support of Hamas and Hezbollah’s tussle against the Jewish State.

While the Houthi attacks may be sporadic and largely symbolic, their ability to target Israel underscores the how what was once a localized Yemeni insurgency has metastasized into formidable player in the Middle Eastern arena, intricately linked by ideology, arms, and strategy to the broader Iranian-led axis.

(Tomorrow, we look at why the Arab nations have not really warmed up to the fate of the Palestinians being scorched by the fury of Israel’s onslaught on Gaza, and the complex history of the PLO and the Arab states)

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