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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Mahayuti struggles with seat-sharing formula

Mumbai: The ruling Mahayuti alliance is currently navigating a treacherous political minefield. With the crucial Legislative Council elections rapidly approaching, deep-seated differences over seat-sharing have surfaced. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday offered a candid admission of these unresolved disputes. His statements underscore the immense pressure on the coalition partners. The state is preparing to vote for sixteen council seats and one bypoll seat in Nagpur. Voting is...

Mahayuti struggles with seat-sharing formula

Mumbai: The ruling Mahayuti alliance is currently navigating a treacherous political minefield. With the crucial Legislative Council elections rapidly approaching, deep-seated differences over seat-sharing have surfaced. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday offered a candid admission of these unresolved disputes. His statements underscore the immense pressure on the coalition partners. The state is preparing to vote for sixteen council seats and one bypoll seat in Nagpur. Voting is scheduled for June 18, with the all-important counting set for June 22. Addressing the media after inaugurating the Jawahar Balbhavan in Mumbai, Fadnavis sought to project a calm exterior. He emphasised that detailed discussions are still ongoing to evaluate various aspects of the electoral battle. He expressed confidence that the alliance would soon reach an amicable solution. However, the specific geographies he mentioned reveal the exact fault lines. Negotiations with the Shiv Sena are heavily concentrated on Chhatrapati Sambhaji Nagar and Nashik. Meanwhile, talks with the Nationalist Congress Party are focused squarely on Pune. Alliance Arithmatic The arithmetic of the alliance is proving incredibly difficult to balance. The Shiv Sena had firmly demanded seven seats even as the BJP was offering only 3. They justify this claim by pointing to their strong support bases in Mumbai, Thane, Raigad, Sambhajinagar, Ratnagiri, Nashik, and Yavatmal. The Bharatiya Janata Party has a vastly different calculation. The BJP plans to assert its dominance by contesting twelve seats. This aggressive stance would leave only three seats for the Sena and a mere two seats for the Sunetra Pawar-led NCP. With the nomination process already underway, the clock is ticking loudly for the Mahayuti leadership. This intense internal friction prompted a sudden political maneuver by Deputy Chief Minister and Shiv Sena chief Eknath Shinde. He flew to New Delhi over the weekend amid the escalating deadlock. Sena sources indicated that Shinde sought the intervention of the BJP’s central leadership. A Sena minister, however, quickly tried to downplay the optics of the trip. He insisted that Shinde travelled for an unscheduled programme before heading to Bengaluru for a planned event. Despite these official denials, the timing strongly suggests a high-stakes crisis intervention. Bitter Conflict The most bitter conflict within the alliance centers on the Thane local authorities constituency. Both the BJP and the Shinde-led Sena are fiercely staking their claims. A BJP legislator recently argued that political tickets should be distributed based strictly on numerical strength. He pointed out that the BJP commands 444 corporators in the region. In stark contrast, the Shinde-led Sena and the allied Jijau organisation possess a combined total of only 346 corporators. However, political reality in Maharashtra is rarely dictated by numbers alone. The Shinde faction views Thane as its emotional and traditional stronghold. Surrendering this territory to their alliance partner is considered politically unthinkable. This local dispute is already threatening to severely damage the broader coalition. A Sena Member of Parliament recently issued a stark warning regarding the upcoming Thane Zilla Parishad elections. He boldly asserted that Sena workers are fully prepared to fight alone and hoist their saffron flag, regardless of the alliance’s survival. The battle lines are extending further across the state map. The Sena is demanding the Jalgaon seat, which the BJP is equally determined to contest. Furthermore, reports suggest the Sena is preparing to unilaterally field a candidate in Raigad. This would further complicate the already delicate negotiations. Despite these mounting tensions, BJP minister Girish Mahajan has publicly maintained that the deadlock will be resolved shortly. A final decision now rests on an impending high-level meeting between Fadnavis, Shinde, and Sunetra Pawar. MVA Crisis Meanwhile, the political turbulence is not restricted to the Mahayuti alliance. The opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi is dealing with its own severe crisis in the Vidarbha region. The Chandrapur-Gadchiroli council seat has triggered frantic political poaching. As many as sixty corporators and Zilla Parishad members from the Congress party reportedly went missing recently. Congress leaders have directly accused BJP legislator Banti Bhangadiya of orchestrating this disappearance. They allege he has shifted the corporators to an undisclosed location to manipulate the voting outcome. The Congress has responded with an aggressive counter-narrative. Senior Congress leader Vijay Wadettiwar made a startling claim that over one hundred BJP corporators are secretly in contact with him. While Wadettiwar strategically hid their exact whereabouts, his statement highlighted a critical vulnerability. He suggested that the BJP is also suffering from severe internal factionalism. Wadettiwar warned that these hidden rifts will ultimately cost the ruling party dearly in the forthcoming elections.

A Crown, Recast

As America turns inward, Canada reasserts its sovereignty with a royal nod from the throne.

In a speech laden with symbolism and subtlety, King Charles III recently addressed Canada’s Parliament in what was only the third occasion when a reigning British monarch has delivered the Speech from the Throne. His presence in Ottawa was both an echo of the past and a signal of the shifting tectonics of the present.


As the king invoked memories of his mother’s inaugural address in 1957, delivered amid the dawning tensions of the Cold War, he seemed keen to position Canada - then a dominion, now a self-assured democracy - as a sovereign nation navigating the perils of a world once again mired in uncertainty.


The clear message sent out by the King’s speech was that Canada is no longer a junior partner in the Anglosphere, nor merely a beneficiary of its northern adjacency to the United States. It is, in the monarch’s words, a country “rearming and reinvesting” to defend its sovereignty, values and economic interests.


For Canada, the reign of Charles III has begun in a time of geopolitical disorder. A resurgent nationalism, sharpened by economic protectionism and populist grandstanding, has returned to haunt liberal democracies. The United States, long seen as Canada’s steadfast ally, now exhibits mercurial tendencies under the second presidency of Donald Trump. Tariffs have been reimposed on Canadian aluminium and softwood lumber. Bilateral trade deals have been scrapped, then renegotiated with less favourable terms.


In a characteristically bombastic flourish, Trump has even mused that Canada should be annexed as “America’s 51st state.” Charles, always more guarded than his predecessor in matters of diplomacy, did not mention Trump by name save once. But the spectre of his administration hovered over the speech. The king lamented the erosion of the system of open global trade that has “helped deliver prosperity for Canadians for decades.” Implicit in his remarks was a rebuke of the zero-sum logic that now governs Washington’s transactional worldview.


Historically, Canada has relied on a delicate balance of independence and alliance. While its economy is inextricably tied to its southern neighbour, it has long sought to hedge that reliance through multilateralism. From its contributions to NATO to its leadership in the Ottawa Treaty banning landmines, Canada has wielded soft power with an outsized influence. But with American reliability increasingly in question, Ottawa is now recalibrating. The King’s speech heralded a more muscular posture: bolstering defence spending, deepening ties with European allies and investing in industrial resilience.


At home, the newly elected Liberal government, buoyed by a clear mandate in the April election, has pledged ambitious reforms to confront a slew of domestic challenges. Chief among them is the country’s deepening housing crisis. King Charles outlined a plan to expand modular and prefabricated housing, a nod to both the urgency of the problem and the limits of traditional construction.


Equally striking was the King’s emphasis on national unity, couched in Canada’s ongoing project of reconciliation with its Indigenous peoples. He noted that many treaties between the Crown and First Nations predate the country’s founding in 1867, a historical footnote that nonetheless anchors contemporary debates about land rights, sovereignty, and reparation. Charles’s tone was notably more personal and empathetic than that of previous royal addresses.


But it is Canada’s evolving relationship with the United States that remains the dominant geopolitical subplot. For decades, Ottawa has operated under the “complex interdependence” model which meant pursuing economic integration while maintaining political autonomy.


Under Trump, however, that arrangement is under strain. The Trumpian doctrine of ‘America First’ has forced Canada to consider scenarios once unthinkable: trade without trust, defence without deference.


The monarchy, while largely ceremonial in Canadian politics, still serves as a custodian of constitutional continuity and cultural heritage. That Charles chose to frame his speech around sovereignty, resilience and transformation rather than loyalty, tradition or nostalgia suggests a crown that is adapting rather than receding.


Canada, as Charles implied, would not be a casualty of history’s next epoch. It intends to be its author.

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