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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Mahayuti struggles with seat-sharing formula

Mumbai: The ruling Mahayuti alliance is currently navigating a treacherous political minefield. With the crucial Legislative Council elections rapidly approaching, deep-seated differences over seat-sharing have surfaced. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday offered a candid admission of these unresolved disputes. His statements underscore the immense pressure on the coalition partners. The state is preparing to vote for sixteen council seats and one bypoll seat in Nagpur. Voting is...

Mahayuti struggles with seat-sharing formula

Mumbai: The ruling Mahayuti alliance is currently navigating a treacherous political minefield. With the crucial Legislative Council elections rapidly approaching, deep-seated differences over seat-sharing have surfaced. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday offered a candid admission of these unresolved disputes. His statements underscore the immense pressure on the coalition partners. The state is preparing to vote for sixteen council seats and one bypoll seat in Nagpur. Voting is scheduled for June 18, with the all-important counting set for June 22. Addressing the media after inaugurating the Jawahar Balbhavan in Mumbai, Fadnavis sought to project a calm exterior. He emphasised that detailed discussions are still ongoing to evaluate various aspects of the electoral battle. He expressed confidence that the alliance would soon reach an amicable solution. However, the specific geographies he mentioned reveal the exact fault lines. Negotiations with the Shiv Sena are heavily concentrated on Chhatrapati Sambhaji Nagar and Nashik. Meanwhile, talks with the Nationalist Congress Party are focused squarely on Pune. Alliance Arithmatic The arithmetic of the alliance is proving incredibly difficult to balance. The Shiv Sena had firmly demanded seven seats even as the BJP was offering only 3. They justify this claim by pointing to their strong support bases in Mumbai, Thane, Raigad, Sambhajinagar, Ratnagiri, Nashik, and Yavatmal. The Bharatiya Janata Party has a vastly different calculation. The BJP plans to assert its dominance by contesting twelve seats. This aggressive stance would leave only three seats for the Sena and a mere two seats for the Sunetra Pawar-led NCP. With the nomination process already underway, the clock is ticking loudly for the Mahayuti leadership. This intense internal friction prompted a sudden political maneuver by Deputy Chief Minister and Shiv Sena chief Eknath Shinde. He flew to New Delhi over the weekend amid the escalating deadlock. Sena sources indicated that Shinde sought the intervention of the BJP’s central leadership. A Sena minister, however, quickly tried to downplay the optics of the trip. He insisted that Shinde travelled for an unscheduled programme before heading to Bengaluru for a planned event. Despite these official denials, the timing strongly suggests a high-stakes crisis intervention. Bitter Conflict The most bitter conflict within the alliance centers on the Thane local authorities constituency. Both the BJP and the Shinde-led Sena are fiercely staking their claims. A BJP legislator recently argued that political tickets should be distributed based strictly on numerical strength. He pointed out that the BJP commands 444 corporators in the region. In stark contrast, the Shinde-led Sena and the allied Jijau organisation possess a combined total of only 346 corporators. However, political reality in Maharashtra is rarely dictated by numbers alone. The Shinde faction views Thane as its emotional and traditional stronghold. Surrendering this territory to their alliance partner is considered politically unthinkable. This local dispute is already threatening to severely damage the broader coalition. A Sena Member of Parliament recently issued a stark warning regarding the upcoming Thane Zilla Parishad elections. He boldly asserted that Sena workers are fully prepared to fight alone and hoist their saffron flag, regardless of the alliance’s survival. The battle lines are extending further across the state map. The Sena is demanding the Jalgaon seat, which the BJP is equally determined to contest. Furthermore, reports suggest the Sena is preparing to unilaterally field a candidate in Raigad. This would further complicate the already delicate negotiations. Despite these mounting tensions, BJP minister Girish Mahajan has publicly maintained that the deadlock will be resolved shortly. A final decision now rests on an impending high-level meeting between Fadnavis, Shinde, and Sunetra Pawar. MVA Crisis Meanwhile, the political turbulence is not restricted to the Mahayuti alliance. The opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi is dealing with its own severe crisis in the Vidarbha region. The Chandrapur-Gadchiroli council seat has triggered frantic political poaching. As many as sixty corporators and Zilla Parishad members from the Congress party reportedly went missing recently. Congress leaders have directly accused BJP legislator Banti Bhangadiya of orchestrating this disappearance. They allege he has shifted the corporators to an undisclosed location to manipulate the voting outcome. The Congress has responded with an aggressive counter-narrative. Senior Congress leader Vijay Wadettiwar made a startling claim that over one hundred BJP corporators are secretly in contact with him. While Wadettiwar strategically hid their exact whereabouts, his statement highlighted a critical vulnerability. He suggested that the BJP is also suffering from severe internal factionalism. Wadettiwar warned that these hidden rifts will ultimately cost the ruling party dearly in the forthcoming elections.

A Government on Leave

Infighting, indiscipline and administrative chaos in Congress-led Himachal Pradesh expose a state teetering on the brink of collapse.

Himachal Pradesh
Himachal Pradesh

In Himachal Pradesh, governance seems to have taken a long vacation. Over the past week, the Congress-led state government has made headlines for the spectacular implosion within its bureaucracy and police forces. The sudden forced leave of the state’s police chief, the additional chief secretary (home) and the Shimla superintendent of police amid a high-profile death investigation is a sign that no one, including the Chief Minister, is in charge any longer.


The death of Vimal Negi, a senior engineer whose body was found in Gobind Sagar Lake, spiralled into an open turf war within the top echelons of the state’s police and administrative services. The spectacle would be almost comical were it not so tragic: a superintendent publicly attacking his superiors in a press conference; a police chief undercutting his own force in a court affidavit; an additional chief secretary bypassing the advocate general’s office. Each of these actions alone would be considered insubordinate. Taken together, they point to an executive that has lost all semblance of control.


Chief Minister Sukhvinder Singh Sukhu, whose image as a strong administrator has been fraying for months, appears now merely to be reacting to crises. His decision to send all three officials on leave was presented as a firm exercise of authority. In reality, it is the bureaucratic equivalent of switching off the lights and hoping no one notices the fire. The real embarrassment here is that the government let it fester until it became a judicial and political embarrassment. The order to the officials to “proceed on leave” came only after the state high court intervened and handed over the case to the Central Bureau of Investigation.


The state’s response reeks of panic rather than purpose. The mass reassignment of portfolios and the temporary elevation of vigilance officers to key posts might keep the machinery running, but it won’t restore credibility.


The Congress, reeling from electoral setbacks nationally, should be particularly alarmed. Himachal Pradesh was one of the few states where the party could still claim a toehold. But Sukhu’s tenure has been marred by crises of both confidence and competence. Earlier this year, a bitter intra-party revolt had reduced his government to a minority for several precarious weeks. Now, administrative anarchy has overtaken political instability.


The Vimal Negi case, in which crucial evidence in the form of a pen drive was allegedly deleted from the record, has become emblematic of this dysfunction. For a grieving family and a concerned public, the only solace has come from the court-ordered handover to the CBI, which is in fact a damning vote of no-confidence in the state’s own investigative capacity.


Chief Minister Sukhu’s defenders argue that cracking the whip on senior officials shows his intolerance for indiscipline. But discipline without direction is meaningless. Leadership is not demonstrated by belated punishment but by the ability to prevent implosion in the first place. And when the most senior civil servants and law enforcers in a state resort to airing grievances in public and undermining each other in court, the problem lies not just in the ranks, but at the very top.


As the Congress high command surveys the wreckage in Shimla, it should ask itself a simple question: can it afford to let this farce continue? If Sukhu cannot command respect within his own administration, he cannot be expected to govern the state. If his appointees are not up to the task, they must be replaced and not reshuffled. And if the party continues to treat Himachal Pradesh as an afterthought, it will lose the state not to the BJP’s strength, but to its own misrule.


In the hill state of Himachal, the snowball of administrative dysfunction has turned into an avalanche. It is now up to the Congress to decide whether it wants to dig itself out or be buried under it.

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