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By:

Naresh Kamath

5 November 2024 at 5:30:38 am

Battle royale at Prabhadevi-Mahim belt

Amidst cut-throat competition, five seats up for grabs Mumbai: South Central Mumbai’s Prabhadevi-Mahim belt, an epicentre of Mumbai’s politics, promises a cut-throat competition as the two combines – Mahayuti and the Shiv Sena (UBT)-Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) combine – sweat it out in the upcoming BrihanMumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) polls. It is the same ward where Shiv Sena founder Bal Thackeray used to address mammoth rallies at Shivaji Park and also the residence of MNS chief...

Battle royale at Prabhadevi-Mahim belt

Amidst cut-throat competition, five seats up for grabs Mumbai: South Central Mumbai’s Prabhadevi-Mahim belt, an epicentre of Mumbai’s politics, promises a cut-throat competition as the two combines – Mahayuti and the Shiv Sena (UBT)-Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) combine – sweat it out in the upcoming BrihanMumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) polls. It is the same ward where Shiv Sena founder Bal Thackeray used to address mammoth rallies at Shivaji Park and also the residence of MNS chief Raj Thackeray. This belt has five wards and boasts of famous landmarks like the Siddhivinayak temple, Mahim Dargah and Mahim Church, and Chaityabhoomi, along with the Sena Bhavan, the headquarters of Shiv Sena (UBT) combine. This belt is dominated by the Maharashtrians, and hence the Shiv Sena (UBT)-MNS has been vocal about upholding the Marathi pride. This narrative is being challenged by Shiv Sena (Shinde) leader Sada Sarvankar, who is at the front. In fact, Sada has fielded both his children Samadhan and Priya, from two of these five wards. Take the case of Ward number 192, where the MNS has fielded Yeshwant Killedar, who was the first MNS candidate announced by its chief, Raj Thackeray. This announcement created a controversy as former Shiv Sena (UBT) corporator Priti Patankar overnight jumped to the Eknath Shinde camp and secured a ticket. This raised heckles among the existing Shiv Sena (Shinde) loyalists who raised objections. “We worked hard for the party for years, and here Priti has been thrust on us. My name was considered till the last moment, and overnight everything changed,” rued Kunal Wadekar, a Sada Sarvankar loyalist. ‘Dadar Neglected’ Killedar said that Dadar has been neglected for years. “The people in chawls don’t get proper water supply, and traffic is in doldrums,” said Killadar. Ward number 191 Shiv Sena (UBT) candidate Vishaka Raut, former Mumbai mayor, is locked in a tough fight against Priya Sarvankar, who is fighting on the Shiv Sena (Shinde) ticket. Priya’s brother Samadhan is fighting for his second term from neighbouring ward 194 against Shiv Sena (UBT) candidate Nishikant Shinde. Nishikant is the brother of legislator Sunil Shinde, a popular figure in this belt who vacated his Worli seat to accommodate Sena leader Aaditya Thackeray. Sada Sarvankar exudes confidence that both his children will be victorious. “Samadhan has served the people with all his dedication so much that he put his life at stake during the Covid-19 epidemic,” said Sada. “Priya has worked very hard for years and has secured this seat on merit. She will win, as people want a fresh face who will redress their grievances, as Vishaka Raut has been ineffective,” he added. He says the Mahayuti will Ward number 190 is the only ward where the BJP was the winner last term (2017) in this area, and the party has once nominated its candidate, Sheetal Gambhir Desai. Sheetal is being challenged by Shiv Sena (UBT) candidate Vaishali Patankar. Sheetal vouches for the BJP, saying it’s time to replace the Shiv Sena (UBT) from the BMC. “They did nothing in the last 25 years, and people should now give a chance to the BJP,” said Sheetal. Incidentally, Sheetal is the daughter of Suresh Gambhir, a hardcore Shiv Sena founder Bal Thackeray loyalist, who has been a Mahim legislator for 4 terms and even won the 1985 BMC with the highest margin in Mumbai. In the neighbouring ward number 182, Shiv Sena (UBT) has given a ticket to former mayor and veteran corporator Milind Vaidya. He is being challenged by BJP candidate Rajan Parkar. Like the rest of Mumbai, this belt is also plagued by inadequate infrastructure to support the large-scale redevelopment projects. The traffic is in the doldrums, especially due to the closure of the Elphinstone bridge. There are thousands of old buildings and chawls which are in an extremely dilapidated state. The belt is significant, as top leaders like Manohar Joshi, Diwakar Raote and Suresh Gambhir have dominated local politics for years. In fact, Shiv Sena party’s first Chief Minister, Manohar Joshi, hailed from this belt.

Atmanirbhar Bharat: An Imperative for Defence

When Indian policymakers talk of an ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ (self-reliant India), the phrase generally conjures images of solar panels, electric vehicles or homegrown smartphones. But nowhere is the imperative more pressing than in the country’s defence sector. For decades, India’s armed forces have struggled with an unhappy paradox: they are among the world’s largest, yet remain acutely dependent on foreign suppliers for critical hardware, from fighter jets to submarines.


This is no minor vulnerability. India’s neighbours include two nuclear-armed adversaries - Pakistan and China - whose military modernisation has been rapid and relentless. Yet India’s own defence preparedness has lagged behind, hobbled by inadequate capital budgets, bureaucratic sloth, an ageing industrial base and cumbersome procurement procedures. Revenue expenditure on salaries and pensions devours the lion’s share of defence allocations, leaving too little for modernisation. The result is that India continues to rely on imports to plug crucial gaps, leaving its national security hostage to shifting geopolitical winds.


Foreign suppliers

India’s import dependency is spread across a handful of partners, each with its own set of entanglements. Israel has emerged as one of the most reliable suppliers. India is the single biggest destination for Israeli defence exports, accounting for over 40 percent of its global sales. The partnership has been productive in areas such as UAVs, missiles and loitering munitions. Yet even here, constraints abound. Much of Israeli kit includes American-origin components, potentially vulnerable to Washington’s vetoes. Moreover, the holy grail of any defence deal - transfer of technology - remains elusive, hampered by Israel’s stringent sectoral regulations and reluctance to part with intellectual property. For India, this means quick access to battlefield-proven systems, but not the know-how to build them independently.


France is often hailed in New Delhi as a dependable ally. The Rafale fighter jets, Scorpene-class submarines and ongoing naval aviation deals testify to Paris’s willingness to engage deeply. France has been more open than most Western nations in offering technology partnerships. Yet the devil lies in the detail. Indian negotiators routinely complain that the most sensitive technologies including jet engines, radar integration, source codes remain out of reach. The history of defence offsets, where French firms promised local production but fell short, continues to rankle.


Russia, India’s long-standing defence partner, has supplied everything from MiG fighters and Sukhoi jets to tanks, submarines and the coveted S-400 missile system. The BrahMos cruise missile, jointly developed, is a rare example of successful collaboration. Yet problems abound in form of poor product quality, patchy maintenance support, high life-cycle costs and chronic delays. The war in Ukraine has exposed these weaknesses brutally. With Ukrainian industries producing key spares like Zorya turbines, Indian inventories have been left scrambling.


External shocks

The United States has made significant inroads in recent years. From near-zero in 2008, bilateral defence trade has crossed $20 billion, underpinned by agreements such as LEMOA and COMCASA. Washington pitches itself as India’s natural partner in balancing China. But the relationship is not without friction. Tariff disputes, delays in supply (notably General Electric engines), offset non-fulfilment, and lack of clarity under the Defence Technology and Trade Initiative (DTTI) have slowed progress. Above all, India is wary of America’s unpredictability: its tendency to arm Pakistan, its shifting strategic priorities, and the risk of sanctions if ties with Russia or Iran deepen. Beyond these big players, India has dabbled with suppliers from Sweden, Norway, Italy and Turkey. Each comes with its own mix of opportunities and headaches. The mosaic is complicated; the dependence, glaring.


For India, defence indigenisation is no longer about prestige; it is about survival. Foreign suppliers have served the country well in moments of crisis. But over-reliance weakens strategic autonomy. It leaves India vulnerable to external shocks - from sanctions to wars in supplier countries. It limits bargaining power in diplomacy. And it slows the pace of modernisation by making India dependent on the timelines and generosity of others.


Atmanirbharta, if realised, promises several dividends. First, it would reduce strategic dependency and enhance national security. Second, it would boost domestic innovation: defence research often spills over into civilian technologies, from aerospace to electronics. Third, it would create jobs and nurture a skilled industrial ecosystem. Fourth, it would allow India not only to meet its own needs but to emerge as a credible exporter, enhancing its diplomatic heft in regions such as Africa and Southeast Asia.


The Modi government has recognised this, placing self-reliance at the heart of defence policy. Initiatives like the ‘negative import list’ (banning imports of certain categories), the corporatisation of ordnance factories, and the encouragement of private players mark important steps.


The Defence Acquisition Procedure has been tweaked to favour domestic producers. India’s exports, once negligible, touched $2.6 billion in 2024, with customers in over 80 countries.


Yet the distance to travel is vast. High-end technologies - jet engines, advanced radars, stealth platforms, nuclear submarines - remain far beyond India’s current capabilities. The Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) has had patchy success, plagued by delays and cost overruns. Indigenous production often ends up reliant on imported sub-systems, undermining the goal of self-reliance. The private sector, though energetic, lacks the depth and scale to rival global primes.


Self-reliance cannot mean isolation. India will need to continue importing where it lacks expertise, while simultaneously investing in domestic capabilities. The model to emulate is not autarky but partnerships on India’s terms. Joint ventures, co-development, and smart technology transfers can accelerate capacity-building.


In an era when great-power rivalry is intensifying and wars of attrition are back in fashion, India can ill afford to be at the mercy of others for its national security.


(The author is a retired Naval Aviation Officer and defence and geopolitical analyst. Views personal.)

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