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By:

Abhijit Mulye

21 August 2024 at 11:29:11 am

Shinde dilutes demand

Likely to be content with Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai Mumbai: In a decisive shift that redraws the power dynamics of Maharashtra’s urban politics, the standoff over the prestigious Mumbai Mayor’s post has ended with a strategic compromise. Following days of resort politics and intense backroom negotiations, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has reportedly diluted its demand for the top job in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), settling instead for the Deputy Mayor’s post. This...

Shinde dilutes demand

Likely to be content with Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai Mumbai: In a decisive shift that redraws the power dynamics of Maharashtra’s urban politics, the standoff over the prestigious Mumbai Mayor’s post has ended with a strategic compromise. Following days of resort politics and intense backroom negotiations, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has reportedly diluted its demand for the top job in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), settling instead for the Deputy Mayor’s post. This development, confirmed by high-ranking party insiders, follows the realization that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) effectively ceded its claims on the Kalyan-Dombivali Municipal Corporation (KDMC) to protect the alliance, facilitating a “Mumbai for BJP, Kalyan for Shinde” power-sharing formula. The compromise marks a complete role reversal between the BJP and the Shiv Sena. Both the political parties were in alliance with each other for over 25 years before 2017 civic polls. Back then the BJP used to get the post of Deputy Mayor while the Shiv Sena always enjoyed the mayor’s position. In 2017 a surging BJP (82 seats) had paused its aggression to support the undivided Shiv Sena (84 seats), preferring to be out of power in the Corporation to keep the saffron alliance intact. Today, the numbers dictate a different reality. In the recently concluded elections BJP emerged as the single largest party in Mumbai with 89 seats, while the Shinde faction secured 29. Although the Shinde faction acted as the “kingmaker”—pushing the alliance past the majority mark of 114—the sheer numerical gap made their claim to the mayor’s post untenable in the long run. KDMC Factor The catalyst for this truce lies 40 kilometers north of Mumbai in Kalyan-Dombivali, a region considered the impregnable fortress of Eknath Shinde and his son, MP Shrikant Shinde. While the BJP performed exceptionally well in KDMC, winning 50 seats compared to the Shinde faction’s 53, the lotter for the reservation of mayor’s post in KDMC turned the tables decisively in favor of Shiv Sena there. In the lottery, the KDMC mayor’ post went to be reserved for the Scheduled Tribe candidate. The BJP doesn’t have any such candidate among elected corporatros in KDMC. This cleared the way for Shiv Sena. Also, the Shiv Sena tied hands with the MNS in the corporation effectively weakening the Shiv Sena (UBT)’s alliance with them. Party insiders suggest that once it became clear the BJP would not pursue the KDMC Mayor’s chair—effectively acknowledging it as Shinde’s fiefdom—he agreed to scale down his demands in the capital. “We have practically no hope of installing a BJP Mayor in Kalyan-Dombivali without shattering the alliance locally,” a Mumbai BJP secretary admitted and added, “Letting the KDMC become Shinde’s home turf is the price for securing the Mumbai Mayor’s bungalow for a BJP corporator for the first time in history.” The formal elections for the Mayoral posts are scheduled for later this month. While the opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi (MVA)—led by the Shiv Sena (UBT)—has vowed to field candidates, the arithmetic heavily favors the ruling alliance. For Eknath Shinde, accepting the Deputy Mayor’s post in Mumbai is a tactical retreat. It allows him to consolidate his power in the MMR belt (Thane and Kalyan) while remaining a partner in Mumbai’s governance. For the BJP, this is a crowning moment; after playing second fiddle in the BMC for decades, they are poised to finally install their own “First Citizen” of Mumbai.

Confused Maharashtra Voters Amidst Political Chaos

Updated: Oct 22, 2024

Confused Maharashtra

In the 2019 assembly elections, the BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) and the Shiv Sena formed a pre-poll alliance, with Deputy Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis as its key figure. However, despite the alliance securing a clear mandate, the situation changed dramatically after the results were announced. Despite its excellent performance, the BJP had to concede to the frustration of being relegated as an opposition party.


The two-and-a-half-year tenure of the Uddhav Thackeray government was significantly impacted by the pandemic and faced substantial criticism for various reasons. His minimal attendance—less than three days at the Chief Minister’s office—drew sharp criticism from his mentor, Sharad Pawar. The aggressive handling of Arnab Goswami's arrest, which resulted in a humiliating court defeat, further fuelled discontent. Additionally, Thackeray's departure from Hindutva ideals championed by his father, Balasaheb Thackeray, garnered a strong backlash. Other points of contention included the mishandling of the Antilia case and the wrongful reinstatement of police officer Sachin Vaze, who was later arrested along with two cabinet ministers. Furthermore, Thackeray's failure to respond to Rahul Gandhi’s repeated attacks on Veer Savarkar, who was derogatorily referred to as ‘Mafiveer,’ added to the growing criticism.


All this was compounded by the fact that Sena MLAs were not receiving development funds, and Uddhav Thackeray remained largely unapproachable, making it difficult for them to voice their concerns. This left many MLAs feeling restless and suffocated. Seizing the right opportunity after the BJP's favourable results in the upper house and legislative council, they made a decisive move and crossed over, leading to the formation of the current government. In the last two and a half years of the current government's tenure, many unexpected events occurred. Narratives played a key role in distorting logical outcomes on several fronts.


One of these unexpected developments was a sympathy wave for Uddhav Thackeray. Many argue that sympathy should have been directed towards Devendra Fadnavis, who was sidelined by his alliance partner and took on the Deputy Chief Minister’s role, despite leading the largest group of BJP MLAs. Ajit Pawar changed sides with 40 MLAs of the NCP.


Did it go down well with the masses? And the big question then arises:


Was this required for the sake of stability? Or was this solely to terminate NCP convenor Sharad Pawar’s political career?


The Lok Sabha 2024 battle came as another shock, with the BJP performing poorly compared to previous elections. Despite losing the party’s name, symbol, and many of its MLAs, Sharad Pawar emerged resilient, like a Papillon, achieving significant success. Meanwhile, the Congress party secured the most victories among the Maha Vikas Aghadi coalition. The BJP, driven by the complacency of the slogan "Abki Bar Charso Par," relied on paid campaigners rather than dedicated party workers, resulting in poor performance.


Although they have taken corrective measures by mobilising party workers at the booth level, the overall situation remains quite confusing for voters. Freebies offered like ladki bahin and ladka bhau have garnered mixed reactions. Ajit Pawar has been expressing regret about challenging his uncle and causing a rift within the family. He seems inclined to leave the alliance, but whether this will happen before or after the polls remains to be seen. By taking stock of multiple controversial situations, from the Maratha Arakshan to the Badlapur accused getting killed in a so-called disputable encounter, the criminal cases against Sachin Waze, Disha Salian, and Sushant Singh Rajput’s mysterious deaths–people are still wondering why not a single case has reached a logical conclusion.


Additionally, the frequent threats from Jarange Patil’s hunger strikes, jumping in the net by Narahari Zirval, and others, followed by the emergence of new protesting groups, combined with daily announcements of schemes that will overburden the state’s budget, are the factors that are causing widespread discomfort. This is overshadowing all the good work that this government has been doing. As a result, voters are generally confused and demotivated, with a common question on many minds: whom should they vote for, and, more fundamentally, why should they vote at all?

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