Eyes on Uddhav over RS seat
- Abhijit Mulye

- 6 hours ago
- 3 min read
The Shiv Sena (UBT) chief may secure his berth in the Legislative Council over the Rajya Sabha seat

Mumbai: As the political dust settles from the municipal elections, a new crisis is brewing for Shiv Sena (UBT) Chief Uddhav Thackeray. The date May 13, 2026, looms large on the calendar—the day his tenure as a Member of the Legislative Council (MLC) expires.
In normal circumstances, a party chief’s re-election to the Upper House is a formality. But, in the current fractured landscape of Maharashtra politics, where the opposition Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi (MVA) is battling a numerical drought in the assembly, Uddhav Thackeray faces a stark "Sophie’s Choice": Sacrifice a Rajya Sabha seat for a loyal Shiv Sainik to secure his own political survival in the state legislature, or risk his Council seat to maintain the party's voice in Delhi.
The upcoming legislative elections are governed by a ruthless calculus. Seven Rajya Sabha seats from Maharashtra will fall vacant on April 2; while nine seats from Maharashtra legislative council are falling vacant on May 13. Quota to win one Rajya Sabha seat is approximately 37 votes; while for the legislative council seat, it is roughly 29 votes. The MVA, with a combined strength of just 46 MLAs (Congress, SS-UBT, and NCP-SP), finds itself in a precarious position.
The reality is very clear that the alliance has enough votes to comfortably elect only one candidate to the Rajya Sabha and only one candidate to the Legislative Council. This scarcity creates a direct conflict between the ambitions of the alliance partners and the survival needs of their leaders.
No Charity
Political observers suggest that the Congress, the Grand Old Party is reportedly in no mood for charity. However, the numbers are with the Shiv Sena (UBT) in Maharashtra legislative assembly. The equation being discussed in hushed tones is a "Seat-for-Seat" barter. If the Congress (or Sharad Pawar’s NCP) agrees to support Uddhav Thackeray as the sole consensus candidate for the Legislative Council seat, they will likely demand the Rajya Sabha seat in return.
This puts Uddhav in a bind. The Rajya Sabha seat is a prestigious post and giving it up means reducing the Sena’s footprint in Parliament.
For the Shiv Sena (UBT), the question is existential.
Being there as MLC is Uddhav’s necessity. He must remain a member of the legislature to continue leading the opposition charge effectively in the state. Losing his Council seat would strip him of his official legislative platform, reducing him to a purely organizational head—a risk he cannot afford with the Assembly elections on the horizon.
To secure his seat, Uddhav may have to "sacrifice" the Rajya Sabha aspirations of his loyalists. A seat that could have gone to a fiery orator or a senior organizational worker might have to be ceded to the Congress or NCP-SP (potentially for Sharad Pawar himself, if he chooses to contest) to buy their support for the Council polls.
RS Dilemma
The situation mirrors the Rajya Sabha dilemma involving Sharad Pawar. The NCP (SP) patriarch is also retiring. If he decides to seek re-election, the MVA will almost certainly rally behind him for the single Rajya Sabha seat. In that scenario, Uddhav’s path to the Council becomes smoother, as the "sacrifice" would be seen as a gesture to the alliance patriarch rather than a surrender to the Congress. However, if Pawar steps back, the Congress will aggressively stake a claim to the Rajya Sabha seat, forcing Uddhav to make the hard trade.
As negotiations heat up, the question on every Shiv Sainik’s mind is clear: Will the "Tiger" have to shrink his territory in Delhi to protect his den in Mumbai? The coming weeks will test not just the unity of the MVA, but Uddhav Thackeray’s ability to navigate the politics of compromise.





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