top of page

By:

Sachin Udgirkar

14 April 2025 at 7:02:53 pm

UPI Stays Free — But the Rules Behind It Are Shifting

The real question is whether the cost stays confined to the merchant side or finds its way into prices. For a decade, UPI has run on one promise: instant, free and frictionless. That promise is now being tested. Parliament has cleared the legal path for a Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) on UPI transactions. Untangling what this actually means matters more than the headlines around it. The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026, passed by both Houses this month, amends Section 10A of the...

UPI Stays Free — But the Rules Behind It Are Shifting

The real question is whether the cost stays confined to the merchant side or finds its way into prices. For a decade, UPI has run on one promise: instant, free and frictionless. That promise is now being tested. Parliament has cleared the legal path for a Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) on UPI transactions. Untangling what this actually means matters more than the headlines around it. The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026, passed by both Houses this month, amends Section 10A of the Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007. It is, by the government's own description, an enabling provision — it does not impose any charge itself. It creates a mechanism through which the NPCI-headed UPI and Services Steering Committee can later decide whether an MDR should apply and to what. No such decision has been finalised. Consumers, including all peer-to-peer transfers and the vast majority of merchant payments, remain untouched. Any future MDR is expected to target a narrow band: merchants above roughly Rs 1-1.5 crore annual turnover, on transactions above Rs 2,000, at 0.05-0.07 per cent — a fraction of the 1.8 per cent long charged on card payments. The framework is structured to leave close to 90 per cent of UPI-accepting merchants, mostly small and micro-businesses, outside it entirely. Industry Push The economics behind the push are straightforward. UPI processed 2,366 crore transactions worth nearly Rs 30 lakh crore in July alone and now accounts for 60-65 per cent of the volume flowing through payment aggregators. Under zero MDR, all of that volume generates no direct transaction revenue. This turns what should be a revenue line into a cost centre for the companies actually running the rail. Government incentive schemes meant to offset this haven't kept pace. The RuPay/BHIM incentive outlay fell from Rs 3,631 crore in FY24 to Rs 437 crore in FY26 before being revised up after industry pushback. Meanwhile, transaction volumes jumped from 17,220 crore in 2024 to 22,830 crore in 2025. Industry estimates put the annual cost of processing merchant transactions alone at Rs 4,000-5,000 crore. That cost is currently absorbed by banks and aggregators, with no mechanism to recover it. The Payments Council of India has backed the change on these grounds, arguing that sustained investment in infrastructure, cybersecurity and fraud prevention needs a funding mechanism to survive at this scale. The Key Question This is where the debate sharpens. The RBI Governor observed, just before the bill passed, that consumers ultimately bear such costs "in some way or another". This would not be a visible fee but through pricing that businesses adjust over time. That's a structurally different claim from "consumers won't be charged". Both can be true at once: no one sees a UPI fee on their app, while merchants who pay MDR gradually build it into prices, as most costs eventually are. A Local Circles survey of over 45,000 respondents across 322 districts found that 53 per cent would consider moving away from UPI for transactions above Rs 3,000 if MDR applied to large merchants. Of these, 27 per cent would move towards credit cards, 14 per cent towards debit cards, and 12 per cent towards cash or bank transfers. That doesn't mean half of India's UPI users are about to switch. It does mean payment behaviour often responds to the perception of a cost, not its actual, often negligible size. That is why regulators may need to be explicit about keeping any future MDR invisible at the point of sale, rather than allowing it to surface as a checkout surcharge. Who Gains Enterprise-focused payment aggregators and banks stand to benefit most directly, finally earning revenue on volume they currently process for free. Smaller technology-led players may also find it easier to compete in a market no longer weighted towards zero-revenue transactions. Notably, the big consumer apps PhonePe, Google Pay and Paytm aren't expected to be primary beneficiaries, since they already monetise elsewhere in their business. Any MDR revenue would likely flow to banks and aggregators rather than reshape how these apps make money. For Users Nothing changes today. Peer-to-peer transfers and the overwhelming majority of merchant payments stay free, and that isn't in dispute. What exists now is only the legal door for a narrowly scoped fee to be introduced later on a specific slice of larger merchant transactions. That decision sits with NPCI's committee, not this bill. The more useful thing to watch isn't whether UPI is "ending" as a free system. Every clarification so far says it isn't. The question is whether, once a fee is eventually finalised, its cost stays confined to the merchant side. Or does it find its way, gradually and indirectly, into the price of the things UPI is used to pay for? (The writer is an IT professional based in Thane. Views personal.)

Imran Khan’s Fall from Grace

Updated: Oct 21, 2024

Imran Khan’s Fall from Grace

Imran Khan, once hailed as Pakistan’s most charismatic and resilient leader now finds himself in a position unprecedented for a man of his stature.

The former Prime Minister of Pakistan, once known for his unyielding spirit and fierce determination, now shows signs of strain. Imprisoned and facing numerous charges, Khan appears to be a shadow of the leader who once inspired millions.

Khan’s recent meeting with journalists revealed a man who is a shell of his former self. Once confident and commanding, his body now shows a sense of unease and agitation. Those who met him describe a waning spirit, a stark change for a leader once known for his steadfastness in adversity.

The journalists described Khan as a man who is aware that his political party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), is losing its once-iron grip on the nation’s imagination―a realisation that visibly shook him.

The PTI, once a magnet for massive crowds and inspired loyalty among its supporters, is now struggling. The much-hyped rally scheduled for August 22 in Islamabad, was embarrassingly cancelled due to a lack of public interest. Khan, in a bid to save face, claimed that the rally was called off to avoid potential violence. In a sign of growing desperation, Khan rescheduled the rally for September 8 and directed his party leaders to overcome any obstacles. This defiant stance is typical of Khan’s confrontational style, and his public directives highlight his insecurity about his party’s ability to mobilise support.

While Khan outwardly appears calm and composed, the multiple cases against him and his time in jail have left him isolated and struggling with loneliness. Even in this difficult situation, he remains in the headlines, thanks to his uncanny ability to stay in the public’s eye. Khan recently made headlines by applying for the University of Oxford Chancellorship, a move initially dismissed as a rumor but confirmed by his spokesman, Sayed Zulfikar Bukhari. As an Oxford alumnus, Khan would be the first Asian to take the role. Many see this bid as a strategic play to leverage his international profile against Pakistan’s establishment, a move that has kept him prominently in the media spotlight.

The political landscape in Pakistan is deeply divided. Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif, in his second term, has failed to address critical issues including unemployment, soaring inflation, and deteriorating law and order. His administration’s inability to deliver on its promises has only deepened the public’s disillusionment, leading to growing nostalgia for Khan’s past leadership.

Shahbaz Sharif’s government is a source of frustration for the Pakistani people and a cause for concern for the country’s military. Historically, the military has shaped Pakistan’s political trajectory, stepping in when civilian governments falter. The military reportedly is growing uneasy about the government’s performance especially Sharif’s inability to stabilize the country and mend relationships with key neighbors, particularly India. Additionally, its deteriorating ties with Afghanistan and Iran have left Pakistan increasingly isolated. Even China, Pakistan’s longstanding ally, has expressed dissatisfaction with the government’s policies, a worrying sign given the importance of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) to the country’s economic future.

It is within this context of political turmoil and international isolation that Imran Khan remains a potent force. Despite his legal troubles and the challenges facing his party, Khan’s popularity endures. For millions of Pakistanis, his tenure as Prime Minister is seen as a time of relative stability and hope, a stark contrast to the current administration’s ineptitude. This perception has kept Khan’s political base intact, even as his party faces an uphill battle in the coming months.

However, Khan’s ability to navigate the current political landscape is far from guaranteed. The PTI’s diminishing support, coupled with the increasing pressure from the establishment, raises questions about Khan’s long-term strategy. His recent moves, including the application for the Oxford Chancellorship, suggest a leader willing to explore unconventional avenues to maintain his relevance. But whether these tactics will translate into a successful political comeback remains to be seen.

Pakistan’s political future is more uncertain than ever. Imran Khan’s journey from cricketing legend to political maverick has been extraordinary. Still, as he faces the toughest challenge of his career, the question remains: Can he once again defy the odds and reclaim his place at the helm of Pakistani politics, or is this the beginning of the end for a once unstoppable leader?

Khan’s story is a testament to the complexities of power and the unpredictable nature of political life in Pakistan. His rise, driven by charisma, populism, and a genuine desire for change, now faces the realities of personal and political challenges, raising the possibility that his time may be running out.

Imran Khan is a beacon of hope for his supporters, and a polarizing figure for detractors, whose ambitions have often clouded his judgment. As the nation watches, the world is left to wonder: What will Imran Khan’s next move be? And more importantly, what does it mean for the future of Pakistan? The coming months will be critical not only for Imran Khan but for Pakistan as a whole. The decisions made during this period will shape the country’s trajectory for years. Whether Khan emerges victorious or is consigned to the annals of history as a fallen leader, one thing is certain: The story of Imran Khan is far from over.

(The writer is a senior jounalist based in Islamabad. Views personal)

Comments

bottom of page