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Correspondent

21 August 2024 at 3:50:16 pm

Fatal Festivities

The horrific crowd crush at the Chorbagan Durga Puja pandal in North Kolkata which claimed at least 19 lives, is a grim reminder of a recurring structural failure. For a nation that regularly achieves complex logistical feats, the persistence of lethal stampedes at public gatherings reveals a critical regulatory deficit. India’s state administrations routinely fail to translate basic crowd-science principles into enforceable municipal policy, turning moments of national celebration into...

Fatal Festivities

The horrific crowd crush at the Chorbagan Durga Puja pandal in North Kolkata which claimed at least 19 lives, is a grim reminder of a recurring structural failure. For a nation that regularly achieves complex logistical feats, the persistence of lethal stampedes at public gatherings reveals a critical regulatory deficit. India’s state administrations routinely fail to translate basic crowd-science principles into enforceable municipal policy, turning moments of national celebration into scenes of preventable slaughter. Data from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) show that the country recorded more than 4,000 stampedes in the last two decades, with religious and cultural festivals accounting for nearly two-thirds of all global crowd fatalities. It has been observed that whenever crowd density crosses the critical threshold of six individuals per square metre, individual agency vanishes and a single trip triggers a fatal domino effect. The profound tragedy of the Chorbagan disaster is that the regulatory blueprint to prevent such losses has existed for years. The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has long prescribed proactive crowd-management frameworks. These guidelines mandate rigorous structural safety audits, scientific capacity caps, and modular, zig-zag queue barriers specifically designed to shatter the dangerous forward momentum of a surging crowd. True crowd management requires shifting away from reactive policing and toward real-time spatial planning, yet these directives are routinely ignored on the ground. In 2024, the devastating Hathras crowd crush claimed 121 lives at a religious gathering. The regulatory neglect continued into January 2025, when a severe collapse of barricades at the Prayag Maha Kumbh Mela left over 30 pilgrims dead at the Triveni Sangam. Weeks later, in February 2025, another 18 pilgrims were crushed to death at the New Delhi Railway Station as massive volumes of devotees simultaneously rushed to board a train home from the festival. The failure is rooted in fractured governance. Because public order is legally categorized as a state subject under India’s constitution, enforcement falls on a patchy mosaic of overstretched local police forces and private festival committees. All too frequently, local organizers optimize for political prestige, corporate sponsorship, and raw footfall over strict capacity limits. The Kolkata disaster represents a classic principal-agent problem: the benefits of hosting an ultra-popular, award-winning venue are internalized by the committee and sponsors, while the catastrophic safety risks are entirely externalized onto vulnerable devotees. India can no longer afford to treat these recurring crowd crushes as acts of God or unpredictable tragedies. Until state governments mandate real-time crowd-monitoring technology, enforce strict physical entry limits on historical enclaves, and impose heavy criminal and financial liabilities on negligent event committees, India’s grandest cultural celebrations will continue to be stalked by entirely preventable catastrophes. If the country wishes to project itself as a modern global power, it must first demonstrate that it can safeguard the lives of its citizens on its own streets.

Imran Khan’s Fall from Grace

Aug 27, 2024
4 min read

Updated: Oct 21, 2024

Imran Khan’s Fall from Grace

Imran Khan, once hailed as Pakistan’s most charismatic and resilient leader now finds himself in a position unprecedented for a man of his stature.

The former Prime Minister of Pakistan, once known for his unyielding spirit and fierce determination, now shows signs of strain. Imprisoned and facing numerous charges, Khan appears to be a shadow of the leader who once inspired millions.

Khan’s recent meeting with journalists revealed a man who is a shell of his former self. Once confident and commanding, his body now shows a sense of unease and agitation. Those who met him describe a waning spirit, a stark change for a leader once known for his steadfastness in adversity.

The journalists described Khan as a man who is aware that his political party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), is losing its once-iron grip on the nation’s imagination―a realisation that visibly shook him.

The PTI, once a magnet for massive crowds and inspired loyalty among its supporters, is now struggling. The much-hyped rally scheduled for August 22 in Islamabad, was embarrassingly cancelled due to a lack of public interest. Khan, in a bid to save face, claimed that the rally was called off to avoid potential violence. In a sign of growing desperation, Khan rescheduled the rally for September 8 and directed his party leaders to overcome any obstacles. This defiant stance is typical of Khan’s confrontational style, and his public directives highlight his insecurity about his party’s ability to mobilise support.

While Khan outwardly appears calm and composed, the multiple cases against him and his time in jail have left him isolated and struggling with loneliness. Even in this difficult situation, he remains in the headlines, thanks to his uncanny ability to stay in the public’s eye. Khan recently made headlines by applying for the University of Oxford Chancellorship, a move initially dismissed as a rumor but confirmed by his spokesman, Sayed Zulfikar Bukhari. As an Oxford alumnus, Khan would be the first Asian to take the role. Many see this bid as a strategic play to leverage his international profile against Pakistan’s establishment, a move that has kept him prominently in the media spotlight.

The political landscape in Pakistan is deeply divided. Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif, in his second term, has failed to address critical issues including unemployment, soaring inflation, and deteriorating law and order. His administration’s inability to deliver on its promises has only deepened the public’s disillusionment, leading to growing nostalgia for Khan’s past leadership.

Shahbaz Sharif’s government is a source of frustration for the Pakistani people and a cause for concern for the country’s military. Historically, the military has shaped Pakistan’s political trajectory, stepping in when civilian governments falter. The military reportedly is growing uneasy about the government’s performance especially Sharif’s inability to stabilize the country and mend relationships with key neighbors, particularly India. Additionally, its deteriorating ties with Afghanistan and Iran have left Pakistan increasingly isolated. Even China, Pakistan’s longstanding ally, has expressed dissatisfaction with the government’s policies, a worrying sign given the importance of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) to the country’s economic future.

It is within this context of political turmoil and international isolation that Imran Khan remains a potent force. Despite his legal troubles and the challenges facing his party, Khan’s popularity endures. For millions of Pakistanis, his tenure as Prime Minister is seen as a time of relative stability and hope, a stark contrast to the current administration’s ineptitude. This perception has kept Khan’s political base intact, even as his party faces an uphill battle in the coming months.

However, Khan’s ability to navigate the current political landscape is far from guaranteed. The PTI’s diminishing support, coupled with the increasing pressure from the establishment, raises questions about Khan’s long-term strategy. His recent moves, including the application for the Oxford Chancellorship, suggest a leader willing to explore unconventional avenues to maintain his relevance. But whether these tactics will translate into a successful political comeback remains to be seen.

Pakistan’s political future is more uncertain than ever. Imran Khan’s journey from cricketing legend to political maverick has been extraordinary. Still, as he faces the toughest challenge of his career, the question remains: Can he once again defy the odds and reclaim his place at the helm of Pakistani politics, or is this the beginning of the end for a once unstoppable leader?

Khan’s story is a testament to the complexities of power and the unpredictable nature of political life in Pakistan. His rise, driven by charisma, populism, and a genuine desire for change, now faces the realities of personal and political challenges, raising the possibility that his time may be running out.

Imran Khan is a beacon of hope for his supporters, and a polarizing figure for detractors, whose ambitions have often clouded his judgment. As the nation watches, the world is left to wonder: What will Imran Khan’s next move be? And more importantly, what does it mean for the future of Pakistan? The coming months will be critical not only for Imran Khan but for Pakistan as a whole. The decisions made during this period will shape the country’s trajectory for years. Whether Khan emerges victorious or is consigned to the annals of history as a fallen leader, one thing is certain: The story of Imran Khan is far from over.

(The writer is a senior jounalist based in Islamabad. Views personal)

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