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By:

Rajendra Pandharpure

15 April 2025 at 7:55:54 pm

Pune’s drought could dry up business

Water rationing threatens to hit the city’s wedding industry, construction sector, retail trade and livelihoods. Pune : Pune is beginning to feel the economic sting of drought. A 10 percent cut in the city’s water supply has already been implemented, and the municipal administration has indicated that the reduction could rise to 20 percent or more over the next two to three months. What appears at first to be a water-management crisis could soon become a wider economic problem, affecting...

Pune’s drought could dry up business

Water rationing threatens to hit the city’s wedding industry, construction sector, retail trade and livelihoods. Pune : Pune is beginning to feel the economic sting of drought. A 10 percent cut in the city’s water supply has already been implemented, and the municipal administration has indicated that the reduction could rise to 20 percent or more over the next two to three months. What appears at first to be a water-management crisis could soon become a wider economic problem, affecting businesses, construction activity, employment and household budgets. The Pune Municipal Corporation has begun shutting off the water supply every Thursday. Swimming pools and vehicle-washing centres have been closed, while the use of water for construction has been prohibited. The state government has directed the civic administration to ensure that the reserves in the Khadakwasla dam chain, which supplies Pune, last until August 2027. The challenge could become more acute in the months ahead. Meteorological experts have forecast a milder winter and significantly higher temperatures this year. If these predictions hold true, increased evaporation could place further pressure on the city's water reserves, potentially necessitating stricter rationing. For residents accustomed to a relatively abundant water supply, cuts of 20 percent or more would demand a substantial adjustment in daily life. Intense Pressure The economic consequences are beginning to emerge. The closure of vehicle-washing centres has deprived young people employed in low-skilled jobs of their livelihoods. Swimming-pool closures have similarly affected security guards and lifeguards. These may appear to be small, isolated losses, but they expose a larger problem: when water-intensive businesses are forced to shut down, the burden falls disproportionately on workers with few financial reserves and limited employment alternatives. The impact could spread to Pune’s lucrative wedding industry. The wedding season traditionally gathers momentum after Tulsi Vivah in the month of Kartik, generating business worth more than Rs. 200-250 crore. Pune has long attracted affluent families from outside the city who prefer its venues and facilities for wedding celebrations, partly because of its historically reliable water supply. Persistent restrictions could undermine that advantage. Wedding venues, caterers, hotels and other service providers depend on a dependable water supply to operate. If rationing becomes more severe, organisers may reconsider their choice of venue, while businesses could face higher operating costs and disruptions. An industry that generates substantial seasonal revenue also supports a network of workers and small enterprises, making the potential economic fallout wider than the immediate loss of bookings. Rural-Urban Connection Pune’s commercial fortunes are also linked to the health of the rural economy. A good agricultural harvest typically improves rural incomes, supporting spending on goods and services in urban markets. When farm earnings weaken, that spending tends to contract, affecting traders, retailers and other businesses. If rural incomes remain subdued, the city’s commercial sector could face an additional headwind at a time when water scarcity is already threatening business activity. The interaction between agricultural distress and urban water shortages could therefore deepen the economic slowdown. Construction presents another major vulnerability. Like many large cities, Pune depends heavily on real estate and infrastructure development to sustain economic activity and employment. Construction projects generate demand across a broad network of industries, from building-material suppliers and transport operators to contractors and daily-wage workers. A prolonged restriction on construction-related water use could delay projects, raise costs and disrupt work schedules. If projects stall, the effects will extend beyond developers to workers, suppliers and businesses that depend on the real estate sector. Rising Inflation For ordinary citizens, the prospect of tighter water rationing comes amid an already difficult cost-of-living situation. Food and restaurant prices have risen sharply. A cup of tea now costs more than Rs. 30, while a serving of idli-sambar can exceed Rs. 90. Even street food, traditionally an affordable option for working people, has become increasingly expensive. These prices illustrate the pressure on household budgets, particularly those of workers whose incomes have not kept pace with rising costs. If water shortages push up operating expenses for restaurants, caterers and other businesses, consumers could face further increases. The extent of any additional price rise will depend on how severe and prolonged the restrictions become. The working class is particularly exposed. Workers in vehicle-washing centres, swimming pools, construction and allied services may lose income precisely when everyday necessities are becoming more expensive. Unlike larger businesses, many such workers have little capacity to absorb a prolonged interruption in earnings. Pune’s immediate challenge is to conserve enough water to carry the city through the coming months. Yet the implications of the drought extend well beyond household taps and civic supply schedules. Trade, real estate, hospitality and seasonal businesses all depend, directly or indirectly, on the availability of water. The two sectors facing particular uncertainty are trade and real estate. The former could suffer from weaker consumer spending and disruptions to commercial activity; the latter could be affected by restrictions on construction and the risk of project delays. The consequences would be felt across employment and the wider urban economy. Pune’s residents and businesses have not had to contend with water cuts of 20 percent or more on a sustained basis. Adapting to such restrictions will be difficult, especially if temperatures rise and the drought persists.

Indonesia’s Indic DNA Needs Protection

Apr 26
4 min read

Beneath the world’s largest Muslim democracy lies an older Indic inheritance now under strain from deepening Arabisation.

In last two articles we discussed the idea of Indosphere and the challenges faced by it. We now move to the core, by picking up a suitable example, whereby a more granular understanding of both these aspects can be developed. The examples of identifiably strongest representative Indic character are two in the whole Southeast Asia region, one each from its mainland and maritime sub-regions – Cambodia and Indonesia respectively. We need to choose the right example out of these, to be able to dwell adequately on all related aspects and do justice to the topic – the need to protect the Indic DNA.


Grave Challenges

The position of Cambodia as a nation-state of the region has throughout been that of a weakling. The decay has been consistent, set off especially by the Mao-inspired Khmer Rouge communist regime between 1975-1979. Secondly, thanks to its physical proximity with China and the deep inroads of various kinds made in it by the latter, it gives out a picture of little hope for its healing and assertion of full sovereignty. That leaves us Indonesia, not down as Cambodia is, but nevertheless faced with grave challenges related to the survival of its Indic DNA, and yet showing a few rays of hope for the hopeful. Secondly, although Cambodia is weakening as an entity and from the view-point of its Indic DNA as well, the challenge to the latter does not become equally grave due to the officially protected status of its Buddhist set-up.


That is not the case with Indonesia. Being a Muslim-majority nation as well as the largest Muslim country of the world, it throws up different set of challenges. On one hand, its Indic DNA is deeply embedded - in its mixed ethnicity, its heritage of Hindu-Buddhist civilization manifested in its ancient monuments and classic literature, highlighted by mighty historical empires as well as in the characteristic life-philosophy and spirituality inculcated by its society. On the other hand, there is this faith of Islam, introduced around seven centuries ago and spread aggressively over next two centuries to cover the entire archipelago, which has been tugging, directly and indirectly, at the roots of that embedded Indic DNA relentlessly. At that, one may like to conclude it to be a routine case of Islamization of a pre-Islamic culture etc. But this is actually a very complex situation, deserving a nuanced understanding.


It is known that Islam, like Christianity, believes firmly in proselytization, and pursues it vigorously the world over. It did the same thing in Indonesia. However, two strange things happened in the process. Firstly, since this new faith, just like its predecessors – Hinduism and Buddhism – was received initially from India, it was largely welcomed without resistance, which resulted in a largely and uncharacteristically peaceful introduction of Islam, though not entirely. Secondly, as the Indic DNA was strongly entrenched and suitably localized since a millennium or so before that, it helped shape Islam too in a local mould thereby toning it down to quite some extent. As a result, although the religious map of Indonesia changed, it did not turn into, for example, a Pakistan-like entity, turning hostile towards own roots. Rather, it produced a unique phenomenon of syncretic Islam, which was acclaimed globally as ‘Indonesian Islam’ for long. The things were fine for a few centuries till the 20th century brought Indonesians in frequent and closer contact with West Asia, the place of origin of Islam, through rise in haj pilgrimage and sought after religious training.


Turning Point

The beginning of this interaction was the turning point, when the West Asian Islam started overwhelming the localized model and overtaking the syncretic culture of Indonesia. Passage of over a century thereafter strengthened the staunch or intolerant Islam further, and emboldened the extremist elements spread throughout the society and the polity. This has resulted in practically narrowing the space for respectable existence for Indonesia’s minorities, and more significantly, it has shrunk the space for the innate diversity and pluralism of Indonesia’s syncretic culture, upheld by its Indic DNA for centuries. This shrinkage is helped indirectly by some other factors too – immediate neighbourhood of openly Islamist and minorities-persecuting Malaysia; increasing presence of Pakistani and Bangladeshi clergy in Indonesian mosques and madrassas; rising clout of the ‘Organization of Islamic Cooperation’ (OIC), widely seen as the ‘Islamic United Nations’ of the world. 


This should be seen as a worrisome situation in India, the mother country, and obviously by its ruling dispensation, the de facto protector of its interests. President of Indonesia, during his India visit of 2025, was seen talking proudly about his own Indian DNA; but the situation on ground in Indonesia is steadily shrinking for the Indic cultural DNA, in favour of an Islamist world-view. It is not about matters of faith of individuals or communities, and an ideological fight over it. It’s a struggle against a narrow world-view that is carried along in the name of faith, and spread among the otherwise healthy societies of the world, inevitably sowing seeds of division, animosity and unending friction. Indonesia clearly needs to be protected from further Arabization, thereby avoiding a potential threat to emerge in India’s neighbourhood. It can be done, among other things, by reinforcing its Indic DNA. Luckily, the situation there has yet not turned into one akin to that in Pakistan or Bangladesh. There are rays of hope, manifesting in some established social organizations as well as emerging youth movements, who are understandably worried about the future of their beloved motherland of pluralist Indonesia. India must hope, help and pray for their success.


(The writer is a Ph.D. researcher in international relations. Views personal.)


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