The ‘sweet’ scam behind the sugar price surge

AI generated image Kolhapur: A sugar shortage can push up prices. But what happens when prices rise sharply despite the country having enough sugar in its warehouses? That is the uncomfortable question emerging from the sugar market’s July-August price surge. There was no evidence of an outright shortage when the new sugar season approached. Government estimates indicated that the country would have around 43 lakh metric tonnes of carry-forward stock. The Centre, relying on this broad...

min read

The ‘sweet’ scam behind the sugar price surge

AI generated image Kolhapur: A sugar shortage can push up prices. But what happens when prices rise sharply despite the country having enough sugar in its warehouses? That is the uncomfortable question emerging from the sugar market’s July-August price surge. There was no evidence of an outright shortage when the new sugar season approached. Government estimates indicated that the country would have around 43 lakh metric tonnes of carry-forward stock. The Centre, relying on this broad availability, permitted exports of 20 lakh tonnes. And yet, the market behaved as though sugar had suddenly become scarce. At the beginning of July, tender prices were around Rs 3,800 a quintal. By the latter half of the month, prices began climbing rapidly. In the retail market, sugar prices that were around Rs 45 a kg reportedly touched Rs 78. The government responded with stock limits and permission for duty-free imports of 10 lakh tonnes. But these interventions address the symptoms. They do not answer the more fundamental question: what caused the price spike in the first place? The first clue could lie in the lifting quota. The quantity of sugar released into the market in July was lower than expected. By itself, a lower monthly quota need not create a crisis when overall stocks are comfortable. But markets are driven not only by physical availability; they are also driven by expectations. A smaller release can create the perception of scarcity. Once that perception takes hold, stock-holding can become more profitable. The initial spark need not be large if the market has enough speculative fuel. This is why the July episode deserves a forensic examination. The timing is particularly significant. July marked the transition from Ashadh to Shravan, when the festive calendar begins and sugar consumption traditionally strengthens. At such a time, the normal expectation would be that adequate stocks are released into the market to prevent abnormal price escalation. Instead, prices moved sharply upwards. Was this coincidence, a genuine mismatch between demand and supply, or something more? The GST system offers an unusually powerful investigative tool. Every registered transaction leaves a digital footprint. A sugar mill selling to a registered trader generates an invoice recording the quantity, value, date and buyer. The trader’s subsequent sale generates another transaction. GST returns and e-invoices can therefore help create a chain showing who purchased sugar, at what price, when it was invoiced and when it was subsequently sold. This information can be matched with physical stock registers, dispatch records and warehouse inventories. The key question should be simple: Did the sugar that was shown as sold actually enter the market? Suppose a trader purchased substantial quantities in July when prices were relatively low, but the commodity remained physically stored at or near the mill. If the stock was released only after prices rose substantially in August, investigators would have a legitimate reason to examine the transaction more closely. That alone would not prove hoarding or cartelisation. A commercial decision to hold inventory is not illegal merely because prices subsequently rise. Large purchases before a price surge. Delayed physical movement. Repeated transactions among related entities. Unusually high margins. Sudden releases when prices peak. These are precisely the patterns that a data-led investigation can identify.

Why Women Are Better Investors Than Men

Kaustubh Kale
Mar 9, 2025
2 min read

Updated: Mar 10, 2025

As the world celebrated International Women's Day, discussions centered around women's achievements in various fields—business, leadership, science, and beyond. But one area where women consistently outperform men, yet receive little recognition, is investing.

Despite money management often being seen as a male-dominated field, women have quietly and consistently proven to be better investors than men. With patience, discipline, and a long-term mindset, women naturally possess qualities that make them superior money managers.

A Perfect Blend of Knowledge and Wealth

In Hindu mythology, Goddess Saraswati symbolizes knowledge, while Goddess Lakshmi represents wealth—two essential pillars of investing. The ability to manage wealth wisely stems from a deep understanding of financial principles, and this is where women excel. They take the time to learn, analyze, and make informed investment decisions rather than rushing into trends or speculation.

Why Women Make Better Investors

Several traits make women stand out as investors:

Patience and Long-Term Vision: Unlike men, who may be more prone to impulsive trading and get-rich-quick schemes, women tend to have a longer term mindset. Their ability to stay calm, especially during market fluctuations, leads to better returns over time.

Disciplined and Goal-Based: Women prioritize consistent savings and goal-based investing. This disciplined approach helps them build wealth steadily. Women naturally excel at budgeting, planning, and structuring investments to align with future goals, whether it’s children’s education, home buying, or retirement security. Their emotional connection with goals is what makes them stick to discipline.

Risk-Aware, Not Risk-Averse: Contrary to the stereotype, women are not afraid of risks—they are just more calculated about them, through appropriate asset allocation. Eventually, this approach ensures maximum returns with minimal risks.

Trust and Willingness to Learn: Women value education and expertise, making them more likely to seek guidance from a well-qualified financial advisor. Unlike men, who often overestimate their investing abilities, women approach financial decisions with a willingness to learn. Once they find a trusted expert, they follow sound advice instead of making emotional, short-term moves.

Women Leading the Financial World

These qualities are why many of the world’s leading financial institutions are now led by women. In India and abroad, we see prominent banks, asset management companies, and investment firms thriving under female leadership. Their ability to combine strategic thinking with emotional intelligence makes them exceptional at managing money—both at a personal and professional level.

Final Thoughts

With their trust in expert advice and a strong focus on financial education, more women should embrace their strengths and take control of their financial futures!